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Free Picks » Soccer Picks » Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, 1/28/2023 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, 1/28/2023 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/26/2023

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Game: Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg

Date: Saturday, January 28, 2023

Location: Weserstadion in Bremen, Germany

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Werder Bremen (+218) VfL Wolfsburg (+120)

Werder Bremen (6-3-8) will take on VfL Wolfsburg (8-5-4) at Weserstadion on Saturday. The Green-Whites are priced at +218 and VfL Wolfsburg are at +120. The betting total is set at 2.75. The goalies protecting the net will be Jiri Pavlenka for Werder Bremen and Koen Casteels for VfL Wolfsburg.

The Green-Whites have a ranking of 13th in relation to goals expected having 20.3, and their xGA sit at 28.2. Bremen has given up 36 goals while giving up 2.12 goals per 90 minutes, and their opponents have amassed 93 SoT against them. Their goal differential is at -9 as a result of 27 goals compiled and also 36 goals relinquished. They are sitting with 2 shut outs, giving them a rate of 11.8 this year. Werder has accounted for 57 SVs and hold a save percentage of 62.4 so far this season. Werder Bremen has recorded 29 yellow cards on the campaign and 1 red card. So far this season, the squad has put together an average of 1.24 points per contest (21 pts) and have a ranking of 10th in soccer with 19 assists.

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The Wolves sport an average of 1.7 points per contest while compiling 27 assists. VfL Wolfsburg has earned a clean sheet percentage of 41.2 for the season and also 32 yellow cards. VfL Wolfsburg sits at 2nd when talking about goals allowed with 20, and the goal difference is sitting at 15. Over the course of the season, Wolfsburg has a save percentage of 75.7 (74 SoT against), and they also are 7th in the league with 29 pts. The team's goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 1.18 with 54 saves, and they have accounted for 7 clean sheets. Wolfsburg has earned 35 goals and the team's goals expected for the season sits at 23.9.

The guy defending the goal for Werder Bremen will be Jiri Pavlenka. Pavlenka (97-80-99 record in his career) has 64 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 23.0% clean sheet percentage. The keeper hailing from the Czech Republic has seen 1,253 shots attempted against him in 278 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.42 (389 goals allowed) and his save percentage is .702. Pavlenka has played for 24,719 minutes and has tallied 880 saves in his career.

Koen Casteels will reside in front of the goal for VfL Wolfsburg. He has surrendered 1.47 goals per 90 mins while earning a record of 88-70-82. Casteels has recorded 69 clean sheets and has defended 1,029 shots attempted against him in 21,574 career minutes. During his pro soccer career, Casteels has allowed 352 goals and has accumulated 698 stops in 240 starting assignments. He has a save percentage of .678 and his shutout rate sits at 28.8%.

Niclas Fullkrug is a member of the side to keep an eye out for Werder Bremen. The forward hailing from Germany has totaled 91 goals scored in 16,643 minutes played. Fullkrug has been given a starting assignment in 177 outings so far in his career while he scores 0.49 goals per 90. He has 26 assists while tallying 18 yellow card cautions during his soccer career.

VfL Wolfsburg is being led onto the pitch by Jonas Wind, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. The forward hailing from Denmark has totaled 8,002 professional minutes while he has scored 44 goals. He has an average of 0.49 goals per 90 and has been in the starting lineup in 89 games so far in his career. He has 9 yellow card warnings in his career and has helped on a goal 20 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Werder Bremen (+218)

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