Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, 5/3/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/30/2025

Game: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Mendizorrotza Stadium in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Mendizorrotza Stadium in Madrid, Spain is where Atletico Madrid (19-9-5) will try to beat Alaves (8-10-15) on Saturday. Alaves are priced at +126 while the Red and Whites are at -152. The over/under has been set at 3. The expected starting goaltenders will be Antonio Sivera for Alaves and Jan Oblak for Atletico Madrid.

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The Babazorros rank 66th in regard to goals expected having 36.8, and their expected goals against are coming in at 41.1. Deportivo Alaves relinquished 46 goals while surrendering 1.39 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have amassed 118 shots on target on them. The team's difference in goals is currently at -11 by means of 35 goals put in the net and also 46 goals allowed. They have earned 6 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a % of 18.2% for the year. Alaves has accounted for 73 saves and also have earned a save rate of 61.0% for the season. Alaves has amassed 95 yellow card warnings this year in addition to 5 red cards. Over the course of the season, this squad is sitting with an average of 1.03 points per contest (34 pts) and also sit at 81st in European soccer with 20 assists.

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Over the course of the season, Madrid has a save percentage of 73.5% (102 SoTA), and also have a ranking of 10th in Big 5 soccer with 66 pts. The Red and Whites hold an average of 2.0 points per contest while having 42 assists and 3 red cards. Atletico Madrid has accounted for 56 goals and this squad's goals expected so far this season is 53.9. Madrid has accounted for a clean sheet percentage of 42.4% on the year and also 71 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 0.82 in addition to 77 saves, and they have tallied 14 clean sheets. Atlético Madrid is ranked 3rd for goals surrendered having 27, and their goal differential is coming in at 29.

The man protecting the net for Alavés will be Antonio Sivera. Sivera has defended the goal for a total of 6,370 minutes and has tallied 174 saves in his career. Sivera (21-18-33 mark in his career) has accumulated 17 shutouts, which leaves him with a 24.0%% shutout percentage. The goalie from Spain has had 257 shots attempted against him in 72 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.21 (86 total goals surrendered) and he has earned a save percentage of 67.7%.

Jan Oblak is expected to look after the net for Atlético Madrid. During his professional soccer career, Oblak has given up 279 goals and has earned 855 stops in 365 starts. He has conceded 0.77 goals per 90 mins while he holds a mark of 219-84-62. He holds a save percentage of 76.2% and his clean sheet rate sits at 47.3%%. Oblak has totaled 172 shutouts and has seen 1,122 shots against him in 32,747 mins throughout his career.

Kike is one footballer who can help decide the match for Alavés. Kike has had a starting assignment in 312 outings during his career and tallies 0.35 goals per 90 mins. The forward hailing from Spain has tallied 112 goals scored in 28,397 mins. He has totaled 24 assists while earning 248 points during his career.

Atlético Madrid features Julian Alvarez, who can change the course of a fixture. He has accumulated 230 points during his soccer career and has assisted on a goal 40 times. The forward from Argentina has been on the field for 14,755 mins while he has scored 95 goals. He scores 0.58 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 159 games thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Alaves (-152)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, 5/3/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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