AS Roma vs AC Milan Prediction, 5/18/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/13/2025

Game: AS Roma vs AC Milan

Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025

Location: Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy

TV: Paramount+

The Red and Blacks (17-9-10) are traveling to Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy on Sunday where they will try to defeat AS Roma (18-9-9). AS Roma are priced at +150 while AC Milan are priced at -182. The over/under is set at 3. The starting goalkeepers are Mile Svilar for AS Roma and Mike Maignan for AC Milan.

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AS Roma has a total of 111 SVs and are the owners of a SV rate of 76.4% over the course of the season. The team's difference in goals is 17 by 51 goals scored and 34 goals surrendered. Over the course of the season, this club comes in with an average of 1.75 pts per match (63 pts) and also have a ranking of 50th among European teams with 32 assists. The Yellow and Reds have a ranking of 34th in the category of expected goals with 50.0, and the xGA are 39.0. AS Roma has recorded 62 yellow cards on the season and also 1 red card. Roma has relinquished 34 goals while relinquishing 0.94 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have recorded 144 SoT against them. They have a total of 15 shut outs, giving them a % of 41.7% over the course of the season.

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On the year, the Red and Blacks have a save percentage of 70.1% (134 SoT against), and they also rank 25th in European soccer with 60 points. The Red and Blacks sport an average of 1.7 points per fixture while amassing 41 assists and 5 red cards. AC Milan has compiled 58 goals and this team's expected goals for the year is at 60.8. The Red and Blacks have a clean sheet percentage of 33.3% for the year as well as 68 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 is currently at 1.11 with 96 saves, and they have tallied 12 shutouts. Milan is 21st in the matter of goals allowed with 40, and their goal difference sits at 18.

The guy who will defend the goal for Roma will be Mile Svilar. Svilar has been on the pitch for a total of 4,860 minutes and is sitting with 176 stops so far in his career. Svilar (26-14-14 mark in his career) has earned 21 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 38.9%% shutout percentage. The goalie from Serbia has seen 231 shots tried against him in 54 starting assignments. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.04 (56 total goals conceded) and he holds a save percentage of 76.2%.

Mike Maignan will be looking after the net for Milan. So far in his pro soccer career, Maignan has conceded 260 goals while tallying 670 saves in 265 starting assignments. Maignan has totaled 103 shutouts and defended 927 shots against him in 23,828 mins in his career. He is the owner of a save percentage of 72.3% and his clean sheet rate sits at 38.9%%. He has given up 0.98 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 143-59-63.

Artem Dovbyk is one footballer who can make an impact for Roma. Dovbyk has been in the starting lineup in 155 matchups thus far in his career and he tallies 0.60 goals per 90 minutes. The forward hailing from Ukraine has earned 93 goals scored in 13,906 mins. He has accounted for 25 assists while earning 211 pts in his career.

Milan has a player in Christian Pulisic, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. He has 198 points in his career and has assisted on a goal 56 times. The midfielder hailing from the United States has 21,337 minutes and has scored 71 goals. He scores 0.30 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 232 games during his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AS Roma (-182)

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Pick:	Borussia Dortmund -2.5 (-135)
Start:	May 17, 2025 @ 9:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp German Bundesliga Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Borussia Dortmund -2.5 (-135) over Holstein Kiel (9:30 a.m. EST, Saturday May 17) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) The last time these sides met at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, the home side cruised to a 5-0 victory. We feel that there is a great chance we see that type of match here. Dortmund is one point out of Champions League qualification, right behind Freiburg, and three points is crucial here. Holstein Kiel has already been relegated, so they have lost their fighting spirit here and will be preparing for their stint in the second division next season. The home side has won five straight and beat Wolfsburg 4-0 in their last home match. They should have a similar type game here, as they need these points badly and they will not leave anything to chance as they will attack early and often against an overmatched opponent. Read More Read Less

AS Roma vs AC Milan Prediction, 5/18/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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