AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, 5/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/30/2025

Game: AS Roma vs Fiorentina

Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025

Location: Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy

TV: Fubo

AS Roma (17-9-8) will try to defeat Fiorentina (17-8-9) at Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy on Sunday. AS Roma are priced at -182 and Fiorentina are at +150. The betting total comes in at 3. The expected starting goalkeepers will be Mile Svilar for AS Roma and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

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The Yellow and Reds sit at 33rd for expected goals having 48.6, and their expected goals against are sitting at 35.7. Roma has give up 32 goals while allowing 0.94 goals per 90, and opposing teams have accumulated 136 SoT on them. Their difference in goals is currently at 17 with 49 goals put in the net as well as 32 goals relinquished. They have a total of 14 shut outs, giving them a rate of 41.2% for the year. AS Roma has compiled 105 SVs and they also are the owners of a SV percentage of 76.5% for the season. AS Roma is sitting with 60 yellow cards so far this season and also 1 red card. On the season, this club comes in with an average of 1.76 pts per fixture (60 points) and also rank 50th in European soccer with 30 assists.

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This season, ACF Fiorentina has a save % of 74.6% (134 SoT against), and also sit at 21st among Big 5 teams with 59 pts. The Purples come in with an average of 1.7 pts per contest while totaling 35 assists and 2 red cards. Fiorentina has earned 53 goals and the team's expected goals on the campaign is sitting at 42.3. ACF Fiorentina has earned a clean sheet rate of 35.3% over the course of the season and 70 yellow card cautions. The club's goals against/90 min is 1.00 in addition to 99 saves, and they have earned 12 shutouts. Fiorentina has a ranking of 16th in the category of goals against with 34, and their goal difference is 19.

The man defending the goal for Roma will be Mile Svilar. Svilar has seen the pitch for a total of 4,680 mins and has accumulated 170 saves during his soccer career. The keeper from Serbia has faced 223 shots sent his way in 52 career starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.04 (54 total goals surrendered) and he has a save percentage of 76.2%. Svilar (25-14-13 record in his career) has earned 20 clean sheets, which gives him a 38.5%% clean sheet percentage.

David de Gea is expected to look after the net for Fiorentina. During his career, Gea has conceded 558 goals while totaling 1,433 stops in 503 starts. Gea has racked up 173 shutouts and defended 1,984 shots attempted against him in 45,208 mins throughout his career. He has earned a save percentage of 72.2% and his shutout rate is 34.4%%. He has given up 1.11 goals per 90 mins while earning a mark of 267-114-122.

Artem Dovbyk is one member of the side who can help decide the match for Roma. Dovbyk has been given a starting assignment in 153 outings so far in his career and he accounts for 0.60 goals per 90 minutes. The forward who is from Ukraine has totaled 92 goals in 13,745 mins played. He has accounted for 25 assists while tallying 209 points in his pro soccer career.

Fiorentina has a player in Moise Kean, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. He sports an average of 0.50 goals per 90 minutes and has started 123 games in his career. The forward from Italy has totaled 11,483 minutes while scoring 64 goals. He has tallied 136 points thus far in his career and has assisted on a goal 8 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AS Roma (+150)

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AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, 5/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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