Atalanta vs AS Roma Prediction, 5/12/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/7/2025

Game: Atalanta vs AS Roma

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025

Location: Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy is the location where AS Roma (18-9-8) will attempt to defeat Atalanta (20-8-7) on Monday. The Goddess are priced at -275 while AS Roma are at +220. The total is set at 3. The goalies who are expected to start are Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta and Mile Svilar for AS Roma.

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Atalanta has amassed 100 saves and also hold a SV percentage of 76.0% on the season. Their goal differential is currently at 40 as a result of 71 goals finished and 31 goals allowed. This year, this club averages 1.94 pts per fixture (68 points) and also have a rank of 9th in European soccer with 48 assists. The Goddess are ranked 13th in the category of xG having 59.4, and the expected goals against are sitting at 34.1. Atalanta has a total of 65 yellow cards for the year and also 1 red card. Atalanta B.C. has give up 31 goals while giving up 0.89 goals per 90 minutes, and the opposition have tallied 129 SoT on them. They have tallied 15 clean sheets, which puts them at a rate of 42.9% on the year.

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This season, Roma has a save % of 77.3% (141 SoT against), and they also have a ranking of 17th in Big 5 soccer with 63 pts. The Yellow and Reds average 1.8 pts per fixture while recording 31 assists and 1 red card. AS Roma has amassed 50 goals and the team's expected goals on the year is sitting at 49.2. Roma has compiled a shut out % of 42.9% so far this year in addition to 62 yellow card warnings. The team's goals against per 90 is 0.91 with 110 saves, and they have amassed 15 shutouts. Roma is ranked 9th in relation to goals surrendered with 32, and their difference in goals is 18.

The man who will defend the goal for Atalanta is Marco Carnesecchi. Carnesecchi has played for 7,735 mins and has 270 stops in his pro soccer career. His GA/90 is 1.25 (107 total goals conceded) and he has earned a save % of 71.8%. The keeper hailing from Italy has faced 376 shots attempted against him in 86 starts. Carnesecchi (37-21-28 mark during his soccer career) has earned 25 shutouts, which gives him a 29.1%% clean sheet rate.

Mile Svilar will be looking after the goal for Roma. So far in his career, Svilar has given up 54 goals and has accounted for 175 saves in 53 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.02 goals per 90 while holding a record of 26-14-13. He has earned a save % of 76.8% and his clean sheet rate is 39.6%%. Svilar has 21 shutouts while defending 228 shots tried against him in 4,770 minutes in his career.

Mateo Retegui is one member of the squad who can make an impact for Atalanta. The forward from Italy has earned 77 goals in 12,612 minutes played. Retegui has had a starting assignment in 146 contests thus far in his career and tallies 0.55 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 18 assists while accumulating 172 pts thus far in his career.

Roma has an attacker in Artem Dovbyk, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. The forward born in Ukraine has been on the pitch for 13,821 professional minutes and has scored 93 goals. He is currently averaging 0.61 goals per 90 and has been given a starting assignment in 154 games in his career. He has totaled 211 points in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 25 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take AS Roma (-275)

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less

Atalanta vs AS Roma Prediction, 5/12/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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