Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction, 11/30/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/26/2025

Game: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025

Location: Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Atalanta (2-7-3) will compete against Fiorentina (0-6-6) at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy on Sunday. The Goddess are priced at -145 and Fiorentina are at +125. The betting total comes in at 3. The goalies expected to start will be Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

soccer picks Mario Pasalic Atalanta predictions best bet odds

Atalanta B.C. has surrendered 14 goals while surrendering 1.17 goals per 90 minutes, and opposing clubs have recorded 49 shots on target against them. They are sitting with 2 clean sheets, which has them at a % of 16.7% on the year. Atalanta is sitting with 19 yellow card warnings this year and also 1 red card. The Goddess rank 10th when talking about goals expected with 15.1, and their xGA are at 11.4. This season, this team comes in with an average of 1.08 points per match (13 pts) and they also have a rank of 7th among European teams with 10 assists. Their difference in goals is currently at 0 with the help of 14 goals put in the net and 14 goals allowed. Atalanta has a total of 35 saves and they also have earned a save% of 71.4% on the campaign.

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On the season, ACF Fiorentina has a save % of 66.7% (57 shots on target against), and are 19th in Big 5 soccer with 6 pts. The Purples hold an average of 0.5 pts per match while tallying 4 assists and 1 red card. Fiorentina has accounted for 10 goals and this squad's xG so far this season sits at 15.3. ACF Fiorentina has a clean sheet rate of 16.7% over the course of the season in addition to 29 yellow card warnings. This team's goals against/90 min is at 1.58 in addition to 37 saves, and they have amassed 2 shutouts. Fiorentina ranks 17th in the matter of goals allowed having 19, and the squad's difference in goals sits at -9.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Atalanta is Marco Carnesecchi. Carnesecchi has defended the goal for a total of 8,995 minutes and has tallied 314 stops during his pro soccer career. Carnesecchi (40-28-32 mark during his career) has earned 27 clean sheets, which has earned him a 27.0%% clean sheet percentage. The goalie from Italy has faced 438 shots attempted against him in 100 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.25 (125 total goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of 71.7%.

David de Gea is expected to look after the net for Fiorentina. In his pro soccer career, Gea has given up 584 goals and has accumulated 1,477 stops in 519 starts. He has a save % of 71.9% and his clean sheet rate is currently 33.8%%. He has allowed 1.13 goals per 90 mins while earning a record of 269-120-130. Gea has accumulated 175 shutouts and has seen 2,055 shots tried against him in 46,648 career minutes.

Mario Pasalic is a footballer who should impact this matchup for Atalanta. He has 45 assists while earning 215 points in his career. The midfielder from Croatia has racked up 85 goals in 26,814 mins. Pasalic has started 307 games during his career and scores 0.29 G/90.

Fiorentina features Albert Gudmundsson, who can cause havoc on the pitch. He has totaled 213 pts in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 31 times. The midfielder representing Iceland has 19,316 minutes while scoring 91 goals. He has an average of 0.42 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 225 matches in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Fiorentina (-145)

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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction, 11/30/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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