Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves Prediction, 5/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/7/2025

Game: Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: San Mamés in Bilbao, Spain

TV: ESPN+

San Mamés in Bilbao, Spain is the location where Alaves (8-11-15) will go up against Athletic Bilbao (16-13-5) on Sunday. Athletic Bilbao are priced at -182 and the Babazorros are at +150. The total comes in at 3. The expected starting goaltenders are Unai Simon for Athletic Bilbao and Antonio Sivera for Alaves.

soccer picks Raul Garcia Athletic Bilbao predictions best bet odds

The Lions have a rank of 36th when talking about goals expected having 48.2, and their xGA are 33.1. Athletic Club has surrendered 26 goals while surrendering 0.76 goals per 90 min, and the other team have recorded 105 SoT on them. Their differential on goals is currently at 24 by means of 50 goals scored and 26 goals given up. They have 12 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 35.3% for the season. Athletic Bilbao has tallied 78 SVs and they hold a SV rate of 75.2% on the season. Athletic Bilbao is sitting with 61 yellow card warnings this year in addition to 3 red cards. So far this year, the squad has an average of 1.79 points per fixture (61 pts) and also rank 27th in Big 5 soccer with 39 assists.

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Alaves has accounted for 35 goals and the team's expected goals this year is currently at 37.3. The team's goals against per 90 minutes is at 1.35 in addition to 75 saves, and they have accumulated 7 clean sheets. So far this season, Deportivo Alaves a save % of 61.7% (120 SoTA), and they also are ranked 72nd in Big 5 soccer with 35 points. Alavés has a rank of 47th when it comes to goals allowed with 46, and their goal differential is at -11. Deportivo Alaves recorded a shut out rate of 20.6% this year and 98 yellow cards. The Babazorros are sitting with an average of 1.0 points per fixture while sitting with 20 assists and 5 red cards.

The man who will defend the goal for Athletic Club will be Unai Simon. Simon has seen the pitch for 17,468 minutes and has earned 453 saves during his pro soccer career. The keeper from Spain has faced 641 shots attempted at him in 196 starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.00 (194 total goals allowed) and he holds a save % of 70.7%. Simon (76-62-58 record in his career) has 65 shutouts, which gives him a 33.5%% clean sheet rate.

Antonio Sivera will look after the net for Alavés. During his pro soccer career, Sivera has surrendered 86 goals while totaling 176 saves in 73 starting assignments. He has a save % of 68.0% and his shutout rate sits at 25.1%%. He has conceded 1.20 goals per 90 and he has earned a record of 21-19-33. Sivera has racked up 18 shutouts while defending 259 shots tried against him in 6,460 minutes throughout his career.

Oihan Sancet is one guy who can make an impact for Athletic Club. The midfielder from Spain has earned 40 goals in 10,387 mins. Sancet has had a starting assignment in 126 games during his soccer career and scores 0.35 G/90. He has 16 assists while tallying 96 points thus far in his career.

Alavés stars Kike, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The forward representing Spain has earned 28,487 minutes while scoring 112 goals. He averages 0.35 goals per 90 and has started 313 contests during his pro soccer career. He has collected 248 pts so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 24 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Athletic Bilbao (+150)

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves Prediction, 5/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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