Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction, 5/10/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/6/2025

Game: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025

Location: Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth, England

TV: fuboTV

Bournemouth (14-11-10) will go up against Aston Villa (17-9-9) at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth, England on Saturday. The Cherries are priced at -275 and the Villains are at +220. The total comes in at 3. The expected starting goalkeepers are Kepa Arrizabalaga for Bournemouth and Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa.

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AFC Bournemouth has allowed 42 goals while conceding 1.20 goals per 90 minutes, and the opposition have earned 164 shots on target against them. They have 8 shut outs, which gives them a percentage of 22.9% so far this year. Bournemouth has earned 90 yellow cards on the year as well as 2 red cards. The Cherries are ranked 11th in expected goals with 60.5, and the team's xGA are sitting at 45.7. Over the course of the season, this team is averaging 1.51 points per contest (53 pts) and they also rank 29th among European teams with 39 assists. The team's differential on goals is currently at 13 by 55 goals finished and also 42 goals conceded. Bournemouth has a total of 122 saves and they also are the owners of a SV percentage of 74.4% for the season.

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Aston Villa has accounted for 55 goals and their expected goals over the course of the season is 53.3. Their goals against per 90 min is at 1.40 with 91 saves, and they have compiled 7 shutouts. So far this year, Aston Villa F.C. has a save percentage of 65.2% (141 SoTA), and sit at 21st among Big 5 teams with 60 pts. Aston Villa is ranked 56th when it comes to goals surrendered having 49, and their difference in goals is at 6. Aston Villa F.C. has accounted for a shut out rate of 20.0% this year and also 68 yellow cards. The Villains have put together an average of 1.7 points per fixture while amassing 42 assists and 2 red cards.

The man who will defend the goal for Bournemouth is Kepa Arrizabalaga. Arrizabalaga has seen the pitch for 18,153 minutes and has tallied 506 saves in his career. The goalie from Spain has seen 738 shots attempted against him in 202 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.18 (238 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of 68.6%. Arrizabalaga (93-45-64 record during his career) has accumulated 65 clean sheets, which gives him a 32.2%% clean sheet rate.

Emiliano Martinez is expected to look after the goal for Aston Villa. During his pro soccer career, Martinez has surrendered 248 goals while tallying 558 saves in 196 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.28 goals per 90 minutes and he has a mark of 91-39-66. He has a save % of 69.2% and his shutout rate is currently at 30.4%%. Martinez has accumulated 59 clean sheets while seeing 806 shots attempted against him in 17,487 career minutes.

Justin Kluivert is one player who can create chances for Bournemouth. Kluivert has started 195 matchups during his pro soccer career and has 0.33 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder born in the Netherlands has 62 goals in 16,854 mins played. He has accounted for 38 assists while tallying 162 pts during his pro soccer career.

Aston Villa has a playmaker in Ollie Watkins, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has totaled 358 points in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 54 times. The forward who is from England has earned 32,992 minutes while scoring 152 goals. He currently averages 0.41 G/90 and has been a starter in 366 matches so far in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Bournemouth (+220)

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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction, 5/10/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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