Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction, 10/18/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/16/2025

Game: Burnley vs Leeds United

Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025

Location: Turf Moor in Lancashire, England

TV: Peacock

Turf Moor in Lancashire, England is where Leeds United (2-2-3) will try to defeat Burnley (1-1-5) on Saturday. Burnley are priced at +120 and the Whites are priced at -144. The total comes in at 3. The starting goaltenders will be Martin Dubravka for Burnley and Karl Darlow for Leeds United.

soccer picks Armando Broja Burnley predictions best bet odds

Burnley has accounted for 28 saves and hold a save% of 62.5% for the season. The team's goal differential is currently at -8 with the help of 7 goals earned and 15 goals conceded. On the season, the team averages 0.57 points per contest (4 pts) and they also are ranked 10th among European teams with 6 assists. The Clarets are 20th in the category of expected goals with 4.9, and their xGA are coming in at 13.4. Burnley has tallied 12 yellow cards over the course of the season and 1 red card. Burnley F.C. has allowed 15 goals while surrendering 2.14 goals per 90 min, and their oppositition have earned 40 SoT against them. They have accumulated 1 clean sheet, which gives them a % of 14.3% on the season.

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Over the course of the season, Leeds has a save percentage of 56.0% (25 shots on target against), and they also are 15th among Big 5 teams with 8 points. The Whites have put together an average of 1.1 pts/match while recording 2 assists. Leeds United has tallied 7 goals and the team's expected goals on the season is currently at 7.6. Leeds has compiled a clean sheet % of 28.6% over the course of the season and 10 yellow card warnings. This team's goals against per 90 min is at 1.57 in addition to 15 saves, and they have recorded 2 shut outs. Leeds United sits at 15th in regard to goals allowed with 11, and their goal difference sits at -4.

The man who will protect the net for Burnley will be Martin Dubravka. Dubravka has been on the field for 15,102 minutes and has tallied 526 stops thus far in his career. Dubravka (64-36-67 mark during his career) has earned 48 clean sheets, which gives him a 28.6%% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper born in Slovakia has seen 760 shots tried at him in 167 starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.44 (241 goals allowed) and he has earned a save percentage of 69.2%.

Karl Darlow will be looking after the goal for Leeds United. Thus far in his career, Darlow has allowed 90 goals while tallying 176 saves in 56 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.61 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 12-18-26. He has a save percentage of 67.4% and his clean sheet rate sits at 16.1%%. Darlow has totaled 9 clean sheets while defending 261 shots tried against him in 5,040 minutes throughout his career.

Armando Broja is one footballer who can make a difference on the pitch for Burnley. Broja has started 60 matchups in his career and accounts for 0.33 goals per 90 minutes. The forward hailing from Albania has 22 goals scored in 5,930 minutes played. He has totaled 4 assists while accumulating 48 points during his career.

Leeds United features an attacker in Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. He has 174 pts during his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 18 times. The forward from England has totaled 19,559 professional minutes while he has scored 78 goals. He currently averages 0.36 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 218 games in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Leeds United (+120)

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Burnley vs Leeds United Prediction, 10/18/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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