Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction, 4/21/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/16/2025

Game: Cagliari vs Fiorentina

Date: Monday, April 21, 2025

Location: Unipol Domus in Cagliari‎, Italy

TV: Fubo

Unipol Domus in Cagliari‎, Italy is the site where Fiorentina (15-8-9) will attempt to beat Cagliari (7-9-16) on Monday. Cagliari are priced at +106 while Fiorentina are at -128. The betting total is set at 3. The goalies protecting the net will be Elia Caprile for Cagliari and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

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Cagliari Calcio has give up 47 goals while allowing 1.47 goals per 90 min, and the opposition are sitting with 132 shots on target on them. They have a total of 5 clean sheets, which gives them a percentage of 15.6% on the year. Cagliari is sitting with 59 yellow cards this year and also 3 red cards. The Islanders sit at 57th for goals expected having 36.9, and their xGA are sitting at 47.9. On the campaign, this club averages 0.94 points per contest (30 pts) and also are 58th among European teams with 24 assists. This team's differential on goals is currently at -15 because of 32 goals scored and 47 goals relinquished. Cagliari has a total of 85 saves and they also have earned a save rate of 64.4% for the season.

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The Purples are averaging 1.7 pts per fixture while compiling 31 assists and 2 red cards. ACF Fiorentina has amassed a clean sheet rate of 37.5% so far this season and also 65 yellow card cautions. Fiorentina has a rank of 15th in relation to goals surrendered having 32, and their difference in goals sits at 17. On the campaign, ACF Fiorentina has a save % of 74.8% (127 shots on target against), and also have a ranking of 22nd among Big 5 teams with 53 pts. This team's goals against/90 minutes is at 1.00 in addition to 94 saves, and they have accumulated 12 clean sheets. Fiorentina has earned 49 goals and the team's expected goals this year is currently at 40.8.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Cagliari will be Elia Caprile. Caprile has been on the pitch for a total of 3,240 mins and has accumulated 114 stops in his pro soccer career. The goalie from Italy has had 157 shots tried at him in 36 career starts. His GA/90 is 1.17 (42 total goals given up) and he is the owner of a save % of 72.6%. Caprile (9-10-17 mark during his career) has accounted for 8 clean sheets, which gives him a 22.2%% shutout rate.

David de Gea will reside in front of the net for Fiorentina. During his pro soccer career, Gea has surrendered 556 goals while tallying 1,428 saves in 501 starting assignments. He has given up 1.11 goals per 90 mins while earning a mark of 265-114-122. He holds a save percentage of 72.2% and his shutout rate sits at 34.6%%. Gea has accumulated 173 clean sheets while seeing 1,977 shots tried against him in 45,028 mins in his career.

Roberto Piccoli is a member of the team who can be a difference maker for Cagliari. Piccoli has been given a starting assignment in 67 matchups in his pro soccer career while he scores 0.32 goals per 90 minutes. The forward representing Italy has recorded 23 goals scored in 6,458 professional minutes played. He has totaled 3 assists while earning 49 pts so far in his career.

Fiorentina features a game changer in Moise Kean, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. He currently averages 0.50 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 123 contests so far in his career. The forward representing Italy has been on the field for 11,483 mins while scoring 64 goals. He has 136 pts in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 8 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cagliari (-128)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction, 4/21/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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