Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction, 4/23/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/22/2025

Game: Cagliari vs Fiorentina

Date: Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Location: Unipol Domus in Cagliari‎, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Unipol Domus in Cagliari‎, Italy is the location where Fiorentina (15-8-9) will meet Cagliari (7-9-16) on Wednesday. Cagliari are priced at +110 and Fiorentina are at -130. The betting total is set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Elia Caprile for Cagliari and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

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Cagliari Calcio has conceded 47 goals while conceding 1.47 goals per 90 min, and their oppositition have earned 132 shots on target on them. They have earned 5 clean sheets, which gives them a percentage of 15.6% so far this season. Cagliari has earned 59 yellow cards so far this season and also 3 red cards. The Islanders are 60th when talking about xG having 36.9, and the expected goals against are at 47.9. On the campaign, this club averages 0.94 pts per contest (30 pts) and they also sit at 61st in European soccer with 24 assists. Their goal differential is at -15 as a result of 32 goals put in the net and also 47 goals surrendered. Cagliari has compiled 85 saves and also are the owners of a save rate of 64.4% on the campaign.

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The Purples sport an average of 1.7 pts per match while recording 31 assists and 2 red cards. ACF Fiorentina has a clean sheet % of 37.5% over the course of the season in addition to 65 yellow card cautions. Fiorentina is ranked 13th in the matter of goals surrendered with 32, and their difference in goals is at 17. On the campaign, ACF Fiorentina has a save rate of 74.8% (127 SoT against), and they also rank 24th in Big 5 soccer with 53 points. Their goals against/90 min is currently at 1.00 with 94 saves, and they have 12 clean sheets. Fiorentina has recorded 49 goals and the team's goals expected for the season sits at 40.8.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Cagliari will be Elia Caprile. Caprile has defended the goal for a total of 3,240 mins and has tallied 114 stops thus far in his career. The keeper from Italy has seen 157 shots tried at him in 36 starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.17 (42 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save % of 72.6%. Caprile (9-10-17 record in his career) has 8 shutouts, which leaves him with a 22.2%% shutout percentage.

David de Gea will reside in front of the net for Fiorentina. So far in his career, Gea has given up 556 goals and has accumulated 1,428 stops in 501 starting assignments. He sports a save percentage of 72.2% and his clean sheet rate is 34.6%%. He has surrendered 1.11 goals per 90 mins while he holds a record of 265-114-122. Gea has totaled 173 shutouts and has seen 1,977 shots tried against him in 45,028 career mins.

Roberto Piccoli is a member of the squad who can be a force in the game for Cagliari. Piccoli has been given a starting assignment in 67 matches so far in his career and he accounts for 0.32 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Italy has accumulated 23 goals scored in 6,458 mins played. He has 3 assists while accumulating 49 points in his career.

Fiorentina has a guy in Moise Kean, who can change the course of a fixture. He has collected 136 points so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 8 times. The forward hailing from Italy has earned 11,483 mins while he has scored 64 goals. He sports an average of 0.50 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 123 outings in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Fiorentina (+110)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction, 4/23/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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