CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, 5/3/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/30/2025

Game: CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Stade Saputo in Montreal, QC

TV: MLS Season Pass

The Zolos (6-1-3) are on their way to Stade Saputo in Montreal, QC on Saturday where they will try to defeat CFM (0-3-7). CFM is priced at +120 while the Zolos are at -144. The total comes in at 3. The expected starting goalkeepers will be Sebastian Breza for Montreal and Andre Blake for Philadelphia.

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The Impact are ranked 26th when it comes to goals expected having 10.3, and the xGA are sitting at 12.2. Montreal has conceded 14 goals while relinquishing 1.40 G/90, and the other team have recorded 53 shots on target against them. This team's differential on goals is -10 by way of 4 goals notched and 14 goals allowed. They have amassed 2 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a rate of 20.0% for the season. CF Montreal has amassed 39 saves and they also have a SV percentage of 73.6% on the year. Montreal has accumulated 25 yellow cards for the season. On the campaign, this team is sitting with an average of 0.30 points per contest (3 points) and also rank 29th in MLS soccer with 3 assists.

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This year, the Union have a save % of 71.0% (31 shots on target against), and also are 4th in MLS soccer with 19 points. The Union sport an average of 1.9 points per contest while having 17 assists and 2 red cards. Philadelphia has totaled 19 goals and the team's expected goals so far this season is 17.0. The Union have compiled a clean sheet % of 50.0% this year as well as 25 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 minutes is at 0.90 with 22 saves, and they are sitting with 5 shut outs. Philadelphia Union is ranked 6th in the matter of goals surrendered having 9, and the goal difference is at 10.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Montreal is Sebastian Breza. Breza has defended the goal for a total of 2,970 mins and has 83 stops so far in his pro soccer career. Breza (16-5-12 record in his career) has accumulated 5 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 15.2%% clean sheet percentage. The keeper from Canada has had 131 shots tried at him in 33 starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.48 (49 total goals conceded) and he holds a save % of 63.4%.

Andre Blake will look after the goal for Philadelphia. So far in his pro soccer career, Blake has conceded 304 goals and has totaled 764 saves in 254 starting assignments. He has earned a save % of 71.7% and his clean sheet rate is 31.8%%. He has given up 1.21 goals per 90 mins while he holds a mark of 113-63-78. Blake has accumulated 80 shutouts while seeing 1,066 shots tried against him in 22,616 mins throughout his career.

Prince Osei Owusu is one footballer who has a chance to score for Montreal. He has 1 assists while tallying 23 pts during his career. The forward from Germany has earned 11 goals scored in 2,887 professional minutes played. Owusu has been given a starting assignment in 32 matchups in his career and tallies 0.34 goals per 90 mins.

Philadelphia stars Tai Baribo, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He has 34 points in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 2 times. The forward who is from Israel has been on the field for 2,138 professional minutes and has scored 16 goals. He scores 0.68 goals per 90 minutes and has started 24 matches so far in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take CF Montreal (-144)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, 5/3/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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