Empoli vs Lazio Prediction, 5/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/30/2025

Game: Empoli vs Lazio

Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani in Empoli, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Stadio Carlo Castellani in Empoli, Italy is the location where Lazio (17-9-8) will try to defeat Empoli (4-13-17) on Sunday. The Blues are priced at +125 and Lazio are at -145. The over/under is 3. The goaltenders protecting the net are Devis Vasquez for Empoli and Christos Mandas for Lazio.

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Empoli has recorded 94 saves and they also are the owners of a save percentage of 63.5% this year. This team's difference in goals is at -27 by means of 27 goals accumulated and also 54 goals conceded. For the year, the club has an average of 0.74 pts/match (25 points) and have a rank of 89th among European teams with 17 assists. The Blues are ranked 90th when talking about expected goals with 29.5, and their xGA are 46.1. Empoli has a total of 58 yellow cards on the season in addition to 4 red cards. The Blues have give up 54 goals while relinquishing 1.59 goals per 90, and the opposition have amassed 148 SoT on them. They have earned 6 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 17.6% this year.

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The White and Sky Blues are sitting with an average of 1.8 points per fixture while compiling 41 assists and 5 red cards. The White and Sky Blues have accumulated a clean sheet % of 23.5% on the year and 78 yellow card warnings. Lazio has a ranking of 49th when it comes to goals against having 45, and the squad's difference in goals is at 12. On the campaign, the White and Sky Blues have a save percentage of 58.7% (109 SoT against), and have a ranking of 18th among Big 5 teams with 60 points. This team's goals against/90 min is currently at 1.32 in addition to 66 saves, and they have accounted for 8 clean sheets. Lazio has amassed 57 goals and this squad's xG on the campaign is currently at 49.8.

The guy defending the goal for Empoli will be Devis Vasquez. Vasquez has seen the field for a total of 2,520 mins and has earned 74 saves in his career. The keeper from Colombia has faced 115 shots sent his way in 28 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.43 (40 total goals surrendered) and he holds a save % of 64.3%. Vasquez (4-12-12 mark in his career) has accumulated 6 clean sheets, which gives him a 21.4%% clean sheet percentage.

Christos Mandas is expected to look after the net for Lazio. In his career, Mandas has given up 9 goals and has totaled 37 stops in 13 starting assignments. He holds a save % of 80.4% and his clean sheet rate is currently 53.8%%. He has given up 0.69 goals per 90 and he has a record of 8-4-1. Mandas has tallied 7 shutouts while defending 46 shots attempted against him in 1,171 minutes in his career.

Sebastiano Esposito is a guy who can be a force on the pitch for Empoli. The forward born in Italy has accumulated 31 goals scored in 8,377 professional minutes played. Esposito has been a starter in 94 contests in his pro soccer career while scoring 0.33 G/90. He has accounted for 13 assists while accumulating 75 pts in his pro soccer career.

Lazio has a guy in Valentin Castellanos, who pesters opposing defenses. He currently averages 0.46 goals per 90 minutes and has started 184 games so far in his career. The forward from Argentina has 16,303 professional minutes while he has scored 83 goals. He has accumulated 190 points in his career and has helped on a goal 24 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Empoli (-145)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

Empoli vs Lazio Prediction, 5/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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