FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, 5/17/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/14/2025

Game: FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo

Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025

Location: Toyota Stadium in Frisco, TX

TV: MLS Season Pass

The Dynamo (2-4-6) are headed to Toyota Stadium in Frisco, TX on Saturday where they will try to beat FCD (4-4-4). FCD is priced at -182 while the Dynamo are at +150. The over/under is 3. The expected starting goalkeepers are Maarten Paes for Dallas and Jonathan Bond for Houston.

soccer picks Maarten Paes FC Dallas predictions best bet odds

The Toros are ranked 22nd in the category of goals expected with 15.4, and the squad's expected goals against are sitting at 15.4. Dallas has allowed 20 goals while giving up 1.67 goals per 90, and their opponents have earned 53 shots on target against them. Their goal differential is currently at -5 by means of 15 goals tallied and also 20 goals relinquished. They have a total of 2 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a % of 16.7% so far this season. FC Dallas has earned 33 saves and they are the owners of a save rate of 62.3% on the season. Dallas has accumulated 25 yellow card warnings on the season. This season, this team is sitting with an average of 1.33 pts/match (16 points) and they also have a ranking of 18th among MLS teams with 9 assists.

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The Houston Dynamo have earned 11 goals and this team's goals expected for the season is 10.2. The team's goals against per 90 is at 1.58 in addition to 35 saves, and they have accumulated 4 shutouts. On the campaign, Houston has a save % of 64.8% (54 SoTA), and sit at 26th in the league with 10 points. Houston Dynamo ranks 22nd when talking about goals against having 19, and the team's difference in goals sits at -8. Houston has compiled a clean sheet % of 33.3% so far this season and 30 yellow card warnings. The Dynamo are averaging 0.8 points per match while accounting for 10 assists and 2 red cards.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Dallas will be Maarten Paes. Paes has been on the pitch for 9,191 mins and is sitting with 330 stops so far in his career. The goalkeeper from Indonesia has seen 465 shots tried against him in 103 starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.32 (135 total goals given up) and he has a save % of 71.0%. Paes (37-31-35 record in his career) has earned 21 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 20.6%% shutout percentage.

Jonathan Bond will be looking after the net for Houston. Thus far in his career, Bond has surrendered 154 goals while earning 300 stops in 93 starts. He has earned a save % of 66.5% and his clean sheet rate is 17.4%%. He has conceded 1.68 goals per 90 minutes while holding a record of 33-27-33. Bond has tallied 16 clean sheets while seeing 451 shots against him in 8,259 career mins.

Luciano Acosta is one guy who can make an impact for Dallas. He has accounted for 74 assists while accumulating 224 points so far in his pro soccer career. The midfielder who is from Argentina has totaled 75 goals in 20,878 mins played. Acosta has been in the starting lineup in 236 contests so far in his career and he has earned 0.32 G/90.

Houston has a playmaker in Ezequiel Ponce, who pesters opposing defenses. He is averaging 0.40 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 21 games during his soccer career. The forward who is from Argentina has earned 1,791 mins while scoring 8 goals. He has totaled 17 points during his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 1 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take FC Dallas (+150)

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FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, 5/17/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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