FC Dallas vs New York City FC Prediction, 7/25/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: FC Dallas vs New York City FC
Date: Friday, July 25, 2025
Location: Toyota Stadium in Frisco, TX
TV: MLS Season Pass
NYCFC (10-5-8) are en route to Toyota Stadium in Frisco, TX on Friday where they will take on FCD (6-7-10). FCD is priced at +132 and NYCFC is at -160. The betting total comes in at 3. The starting goalkeepers will be Maarten Paes for Dallas and Matt Freese for New York City.

FC Dallas has recorded 65 saves and they hold a save% of 61.3% so far this year. Their differential on goals is currently at -9 by way of 32 goals earned in addition to 41 goals allowed. This year, the team is averaging 1.09 pts per fixture (25 pts) and are 22nd in MLS with 18 assists. The Toros sit at 17th in the category of expected goals having 33.3, and their xGA are 34.8. Dallas is sitting with 53 yellow cards on the campaign and also 3 red cards. Dallas has give up 41 goals while allowing 1.78 G/90, and the other team have compiled 106 SoT on them. They have earned 4 shut outs, which puts them at a % of 17.4% for the year.
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Over the course of the season, NYCFC has a save percentage of 73.2% (97 shots on target against), and they also are ranked 12th in the league with 35 pts. The Pigeons are averaging 1.5 points per match while having 20 assists and 1 red card. New York City FC has totaled 30 goals and their goals expected so far this season is sitting at 34.2. NYCFC has accumulated a clean sheet percentage of 30.4% over the course of the season and 40 yellow card warnings. This team's goals against per 90 minutes is at 1.13 in addition to 75 saves, and they have 7 shutouts. NYCFC is 4th in relation to goals conceded having 26, and the squad's goal differential is coming in at 4.
The man protecting the net for Dallas is Maarten Paes. Paes has defended the goal for a total of 10,091 mins and has earned 360 saves in his career. Paes (39-34-40 mark in his professional soccer career) has recorded 23 shutouts, which gives him a 20.5%% clean sheet percentage. The goalie hailing from Indonesia has faced 514 shots tried at him in 113 starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.37 (154 goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of 70.0%.
Matt Freese will reside in front of the net for New York City. In his career, Freese has allowed 92 goals while earning 242 stops in 76 starting assignments. He has given up 1.23 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 30-23-23. He has earned a save percentage of 73.1% and his clean sheet rate sits at 24.1%%. Freese has totaled 18 shutouts and defended 331 shots against him in 6,714 mins throughout his career.
Petar Musa is a member of the squad who can make a noticable difference for Dallas. The forward from Croatia has earned 27 goals in 3,862 professional minutes played. Musa has been a starter in 45 matches so far in his career while he scores 0.63 goals per 90 mins. He has 8 assists while accumulating 62 points so far in his pro soccer career.
New York City stars Alonso Martinez, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He currently averages 0.69 G/90 and has been a starter in 39 games in his pro soccer career. The forward representing Costa Rica has totaled 3,246 professional minutes while scoring 25 goals. He has earned 54 pts so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 4 times.
Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take FC Dallas (-160)
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