Fiorentina vs AS Roma Prediction, 10/5/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/1/2025

Game: Fiorentina vs AS Roma

Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Fiorentina (0-3-2) are hosting AS Roma (4-0-1) at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy on Sunday. Fiorentina are priced at +162 and AS Roma are at -196. The total comes in at 3. The starting goalkeepers will be David de Gea for Fiorentina and Mile Svilar for AS Roma.

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ACF Fiorentina has allowed 6 goals while allowing 1.20 goals per 90 min, and the other team have a total of 25 shots on target on them. They have amassed 2 shut outs, giving them a % of 40.0% this year. Fiorentina has amassed 9 yellow card warnings on the year. The Purples rank 10th in regard to xG with 5.5, and the xGA are sitting at 6.8. For the season, the club is sitting with an average of 0.60 pts per fixture (3 pts) and have a ranking of 16th among Big 5 teams with 1 assist. The team's differential on goals is -3 by way of 3 goals put in the net and also 6 goals relinquished. Fiorentina has tallied 19 SVs and have earned a SV percentage of 76.0% this season.

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The Yellow and Reds average 2.4 points per match while earning 3 assists. Roma has tallied a shut out percentage of 80.0% for the season and 5 yellow cards. Roma is ranked 1st when talking about goals surrendered having 1, and their goal difference is sitting at 4. Over the course of the season, Roma has a save % of 92.9% (14 SoT against), and rank 3rd among European teams with 12 pts. The team's goals against/90 min is currently at 0.20 with 13 saves, and they have accumulated 4 clean sheets. AS Roma has totaled 5 goals and the squad's expected goals so far this season is currently at 5.6.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Fiorentina will be David de Gea. Gea has been on the pitch for a total of 46,018 mins and is sitting with 1,459 stops in his career. The goalkeeper hailing from Spain has had 2,023 shots tried against him in 512 career starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.12 (571 goals allowed) and he holds a save percentage of 72.1%. Gea (269-117-126 mark in his professional soccer career) has accounted for 175 shutouts, which gives him a 34.2%% clean sheet rate.

Mile Svilar is expected to look after the net for Roma. So far in his pro soccer career, Svilar has surrendered 58 goals while tallying 195 stops in 61 starting assignments. He has given up 0.95 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a record of 32-14-15. He is the owner of a save % of 77.4% and his shutout rate sits at 42.6%%. Svilar has racked up 26 shutouts and defended 252 shots tried against him in 5,490 minutes throughout his career.

Albert Gudmundsson is one man who can make a noticable difference for Fiorentina. Gudmundsson has started 221 outings in his career and tallies 0.42 goals per 90 minutes. The midfielder who is from Iceland has recorded 89 goals scored in 18,951 mins played. He has accounted for 31 assists while earning 209 pts so far in his career.

Roma stars Artem Dovbyk, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He has 224 points so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 26 times. The forward hailing from Ukraine has been on the pitch for 14,781 professional minutes and has scored 99 goals. He is currently averaging 0.60 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 165 games so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AS Roma (+162)

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Fiorentina vs AS Roma Prediction, 10/5/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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