FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, 9/27/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund
Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
Location: Mewa Arena in Mainz, Germany
TV: ESPN+
FSV Mainz 05 (1-1-2) welcomes Borussia Dortmund (3-1-0) at Mewa Arena in Mainz, Germany on Saturday. FSV Mainz 05 are priced at +120 and the Black and Yellow are at -144. The over/under comes in at 3. The starting goalies will be Robin Zentner for FSV Mainz 05 and Gregor Kobel for Borussia Dortmund.

Mainz 05 has give up 4 goals while relinquishing 1.00 goals per 90, and their opponents have a total of 13 shots on target against them. They haven't compiled a clean sheet over the course of the season. FSV Mainz 05 has 8 yellow card warnings for the season and 2 red cards. The O-Fives have a ranking of 6th for expected goals having 7.0, and their xGA are 4.8. This year, the squad comes in with an average of 1.00 pts per match (4 points) and they also are ranked 15th among European teams with 2 assists. Their difference in goals is at 1 by way of 5 goals scored in addition to 4 goals conceded. Mainz has accounted for 9 SVs and they also have a save percentage of 69.2% on the year.
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The Black and Yellow are averaging 2.5 pts/match while having 8 assists and 1 red card. BVB has amassed a shut out % of 75.0% for the year and 7 yellow cards. Dortmund has a rank of 2nd concerning goals surrendered with 3, and their difference in goals sits at 6. On the campaign, BVB has a save % of 72.7% (11 shots on target against), and are ranked 2nd in Big 5 soccer with 10 pts. Their goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 0.75 in addition to 8 saves, and they have a total of 3 shutouts. Dortmund has compiled 9 goals and their xG this season is at 7.8.
The man protecting the net for Mainz 05 will be Robin Zentner. Zentner has defended the goal for a total of 18,135 minutes and has tallied 588 saves during his soccer career. The goalkeeper from Germany has had 888 shots attempted against him in 202 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.49 (301 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of 66.2%. Zentner (66-56-80 record in his career) has accumulated 45 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 22.3%% shutout percentage.
Gregor Kobel is expected to look after the goal for Dortmund. So far in his career, Kobel has surrendered 252 goals and has earned 494 saves in 169 starts. He is the owner of a save percentage of 66.4% and his shutout rate is 25.7%%. He has surrendered 1.51 goals per 90 and he has a record of 88-32-49. Kobel has racked up 43 shutouts while defending 744 shots attempted against him in 15,049 minutes in his career.
Arnaud Nordin is a man who can make a difference on the pitch for Mainz 05. The forward from France has recorded 42 goals scored in 14,981 mins. Nordin has been a starter in 170 matches during his career and has 0.25 goals per 90 minutes. He has 18 assists while tallying 102 points thus far in his career.
Dortmund stars Serhou Guirassy, who gives opposing coaches headaches. The forward from Guinea has totaled 20,669 mins while he has scored 143 goals. He scores 0.62 G/90 and has been in the starting lineup in 222 games in his pro soccer career. He has accumulated 310 pts in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 24 times.
Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Borussia Dortmund (+120)
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