Genoa vs Lazio Prediction, 4/23/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/22/2025

Game: Genoa vs Lazio

Date: Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genova, Italy

TV: Paramount+

The White and Sky Blues (16-8-8) are on their way to Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genova, Italy on Wednesday where they will try to defeat Genoa (9-12-11). Genoa are priced at +150 while Lazio are at -182. The betting total is set at 3. The men protecting the net are Nicola Leali for Genoa and Christos Mandas for Lazio.

soccer picks Andrea Pinamonti Genoa predictions best bet odds

Genoa has accounted for 85 saves and also hold a SV% of 69.1% so far this season. Their goal differential is currently at -9 as a result of 29 goals tallied in addition to 38 goals surrendered. For the season, this squad is averaging 1.22 pts per match (39 points) and they also rank 72nd among Big 5 teams with 21 assists. The Griffin rank 78th when talking about expected goals having 32.0, and the squad's expected goals against sit at 39.4. Genoa has a total of 62 yellow cards on the campaign. Genoa C.F.C. has allowed 38 goals while conceding 1.19 goals per 90 min, and their opponents have recorded 123 SoT against them. They have a total of 11 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 34.4% on the season.

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The White and Sky Blues are averaging 1.8 pts per match while recording 38 assists and 4 red cards. The White and Sky Blues have accumulated a CS% of 21.9% on the campaign and 76 yellow card cautions. Lazio sits at 47th when it comes to goals surrendered having 43, and the team's difference in goals sits at 10. On the year, the White and Sky Blues have a save percentage of 57.0% (100 SoT against), and they also sit at 21st in European soccer with 56 points. This team's goals against/90 min is 1.34 in addition to 59 saves, and they have tallied 7 shutouts. Lazio has accounted for 53 goals and this squad's xG over the course of the season sits at 47.3.

The man who will defend the goal for Genoa is Nicola Leali. Leali has seen the pitch for 7,946 minutes and has tallied 285 saves in his career. The goalkeeper born in Italy has faced 418 shots sent his way in 89 starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.52 (134 total goals given up) and he has a save percentage of 68.2%. Leali (21-25-43 mark in his career) has earned 21 shutouts, which leaves him with a 23.8%% shutout percentage.

Christos Mandas will look after the net for Lazio. In his pro soccer career, Mandas has given up 7 goals and has 30 stops in 11 starts. Mandas has recorded 6 shutouts and defended 37 shots against him in 991 mins in his career. He sports a save percentage of 81.1% and his clean sheet rate sits at 54.5%%. He has surrendered 0.64 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 7-3-1.

Andrea Pinamonti is one player who has a chance to score for Genoa. He has 8 assists while accumulating 110 pts thus far in his career. The forward from Italy has recorded 51 goals in 15,141 minutes played. Pinamonti has been in the starting lineup in 170 games in his career and he has earned 0.30 goals per 90 mins.

Lazio features a difference maker in Valentin Castellanos, who is known to give defenses fits. He has accumulated 188 points in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 24 times. The forward hailing from Argentina has 16,125 mins while scoring 82 goals. He currently averages 0.46 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 182 games thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Genoa (-182)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

Genoa vs Lazio Prediction, 4/23/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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