Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, 10/5/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05

Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025

Location: Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, Germany

TV: ESPN+

Hamburger SV (1-2-2) are welcoming FSV Mainz 05 (1-1-3) at Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, Germany on Sunday. Hamburger SV are priced at +150 and the O-Fives are at -182. The over/under is set at 3. The goaltenders protecting the net are Daniel Heuer Fernandes for Hamburger SV and Robin Zentner for FSV Mainz 05.

The Red Shorts are 18th in regard to xG with 4.5, and their expected goals against are coming in at 9.2. Hamburger SV has allowed 8 goals while conceding 1.60 goals per 90 min, and the opposition have accounted for 31 shots on target on them. The team's difference in goals is at -6 with 2 goals notched and 8 goals given up. They have accumulated 2 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 40.0% over the course of the season. Hamburger SV has accumulated 22 saves and they are the owners of a save% of 74.2% for the season. Hamburg has a total of 13 yellow card warnings for the year and also 2 red cards. So far this season, the club is sitting with an average of 1.00 points per contest (5 pts) and also sit at 18th among European teams with 1 assist.

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The O-Fives average 0.8 points per contest while compiling 2 assists and 3 red cards. Mainz 05 has recorded 10 yellow card warnings. Mainz 05 ranks 3rd in the matter of goals conceded with 6, and their goal differential is sitting at -1. So far this year, Mainz has a save % of 64.7% (17 SoT against), and also rank 14th in Big 5 soccer with 4 points. The club's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.20 in addition to 11 saves. Mainz has totaled 5 goals and the squad's expected goals on the year sits at 7.4.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Hamburger SV will be Daniel Heuer Fernandes. Fernandes has defended the goal for a total of 1,026 minutes and has accumulated 52 stops so far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.84 (21 total goals surrendered) and his save % is 70.3%. The goalie from Portugal has had 74 shots tried at him in 11 career starts. Fernandes (2-3-6 record in his career) has accounted for 2 shutouts, which leaves him with a 17.5%% clean sheet percentage.

Robin Zentner will be looking after the goal for Mainz 05. During his pro soccer career, Zentner has given up 303 goals while earning 589 stops in 203 starts. Zentner has totaled 45 shutouts while defending 891 shots attempted against him in 18,201 career mins. He holds a save % of 66.1% and his shutout rate is currently 22.3%%. He has surrendered 1.50 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 66-56-81.

Luka Vuskovic is a man who can help decide the match for Hamburger SV. The defender representing Croatia has tallied 11 goals in 4,481 minutes. Vuskovic has had a starting assignment in 50 outings so far in his pro soccer career and scores 0.22 goals per 90 mins. He has totaled 2 assists while accumulating 24 pts during his soccer career.

Mainz 05 features an attacker in Arnaud Nordin, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has totaled 102 points during his soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 18 times. The forward from France has played 15,011 minutes while he has scored 42 goals. He is averaging 0.25 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 170 games during his soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take FSV Mainz 05 (+150)

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