Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, 11/30/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/26/2025

Game: Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart

Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025

Location: Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, Germany

TV: ESPN+

The Swambians (7-1-3) are on their way to Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, Germany on Sunday where they will go up against Hamburger SV (2-3-6). Hamburger SV are priced at +102 while the Swambians are at -122. The over/under has been set at 3. The starting goalkeepers will be Daniel Heuer Fernandes for Hamburger SV and Alexander Nubel for VfB Stuttgart.

soccer picks Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart predictions best bet odds

The Red Shorts sit at 13th in regard to expected goals having 13.7, and their expected goals against are sitting at 17.8. Hamburger SV has allowed 17 goals while surrendering 1.55 G/90, and opponents have a total of 57 shots on target against them. Their goal differential is at -8 by 9 goals scored in addition to 17 goals conceded. They have recorded 3 clean sheets, which gives them a rate of 27.3% on the season. Hamburger SV has compiled 39 SVs and they hold a save% of 70.2% so far this year. Hamburg has accumulated 27 yellow cards this year in addition to 4 red cards. Over the course of the season, this club is averaging 0.82 pts/match (9 pts) and they also rank 14th among European teams with 7 assists.

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For the season, Stuttgart has a save percentage of 68.8% (48 shots on target against), and also have a rank of 5th among Big 5 teams with 22 points. The Swambians come in with an average of 2.0 pts per match while amassing 17 assists. Stuttgart has compiled 20 goals and their expected goals over the course of the season is 16.8. VfB has earned a clean sheet percentage of 36.4% this year and 20 yellow card cautions. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.36 in addition to 34 saves, and they have a total of 4 shutouts. Stuttgart is ranked 5th in the category of goals allowed with 15, and their goal differential is coming in at 5.

The guy who will defend the goal for Hamburger SV will be Daniel Heuer Fernandes. Fernandes has defended the goal for 1,566 mins and has accumulated 69 saves during his soccer career. Fernandes (3-4-10 mark in his career) has accumulated 3 shutouts, which leaves him with a 17.2%% shutout rate. The keeper from Portugal has faced 100 shots tried at him in 17 starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.72 (30 goals surrendered) and he has a save % of 69.0%.

Alexander Nubel will be looking after the goal for Stuttgart. In his pro soccer career, Nubel has allowed 273 goals and has accounted for 572 saves in 196 starting assignments. Nubel has accumulated 52 shutouts while defending 834 shots attempted against him in 17,629 mins throughout his career. He sports a save % of 68.6% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 26.5%%. He has allowed 1.39 goals per 90 and he has a mark of 92-45-59.

Albert Sambi Lokonga is one player who can be a force in the game for Hamburger SV. The midfielder from Belgium has totaled 6 goals in 11,593 mins. Lokonga has been in the starting lineup in 131 games during his pro soccer career and he tallies 0.05 goals per 90 minutes. He has 10 assists while accumulating 22 pts in his career.

Stuttgart features an attacker in Deniz Undav, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He is currently averaging 0.64 goals per 90 minutes and has started 172 outings so far in his career. The forward who is from Germany has played 15,547 minutes and has earned 111 goals. He has 266 pts so far in his career and has helped on a goal 44 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Hamburger SV (-122)

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Pick:	UNDER 60
Start:	November 27, 2025 @ 7:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #312 Under 60 in Navy Midshipmen @ Memphis Tigers (7:30p.m., Thursday, November 27 ESPN) Navy has a lot of play for in this game, as they have a chance to reach the conference title game with a win. They have had another strong season, but I see them struggling to light up the scoreboard in this game. This total is inflated as both teams have strong records hitting the over. Navy still likes to control the football, and Memphis needs to improve on defense if they want to win this game. We will not worry about who covers this spread and instead just focus on the over. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Holiday Weekend card! We will feature plays on four days in football and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper of 54 years. Read More Read Less

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, 11/30/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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