LA Galaxy vs FC Dallas Prediction, 10/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/7/2025

Game: LA Galaxy vs FC Dallas

Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, CA

TV: Apple TV

The Galaxy (5-9-18) hosts FCD (10-11-11) at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, CA on Saturday. The Galaxy are priced at +120 while FCD is at -144. The over/under has been set at 3. The starting goaltenders will be J.T. Marcinkowski for LA and Michael Collodi for Dallas.

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The Galaxy have a ranking of 19th in the category of xG having 43.6, and the expected goals against are at 56.3. LA has relinquished 64 goals while giving up 2.00 G/90, and opponents have recorded 157 shots on target against them. The team's difference in goals is -22 by means of 42 goals compiled and 64 goals given up. They have 3 shut outs, which puts them at a % of 9.4% so far this year. The LA Galaxy have earned 95 SVs and have earned a save% of 59.2% so far this year. LA has earned 67 yellow card warnings for the year and 2 red cards. For the year, this club has put together an average of 0.75 points per fixture (24 points) and also are ranked 19th in the league with 30 assists.

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On the campaign, Dallas has a save percentage of 66.5% (155 SoTA), and also are 18th in MLS with 41 points. The Toros come in with an average of 1.3 points per match while earning 30 assists and 4 red cards. FC Dallas has accumulated 49 goals and this team's goals expected so far this season is at 45.7. Dallas has accounted for a clean sheet % of 18.8% so far this season and 72 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.63 in addition to 104 saves, and they have amassed 6 shut outs. FC Dallas is 19th in goals conceded with 52, and the difference in goals is sitting at -3.

The guy defending the goal for LA is J.T. Marcinkowski. Marcinkowski has seen the pitch for 8,717 minutes and is sitting with 326 stops so far in his career. Marcinkowski (30-27-40 record in his career) has accumulated 19 shutouts, which gives him a 19.6%% shutout rate. The goalie hailing from the United States has faced 485 shots tried at him in 97 starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.67 (162 goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 67.2%.

Michael Collodi will reside in front of the net for Dallas. So far in his career, Collodi has allowed 5 goals and has totaled 20 stops in 7 starting assignments. He has conceded 0.83 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 3-3-1. He sports a save % of 80.0% and his clean sheet rate is 33.3%%. Collodi has earned 2 clean sheets while he has seen 25 shots against him in 555 career minutes.

Diego Fagundez is one member of the team who can make a difference on the pitch for LA. The midfielder representing Uruguay has earned 79 goals scored in 27,642 professional minutes. Fagundez has started 314 games during his career and he tallies 0.26 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 58 assists while tallying 216 pts so far in his career.

Dallas is being led onto the pitch by Luciano Acosta, who should keep defenses up at night. The midfielder representing Argentina has totaled 21,568 mins while scoring 77 goals. He scores 0.32 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 243 outings thus far in his career. He has 229 pts so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 75 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take LA Galaxy (-144)

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Pick:	Inter Miami +145
Start:	November 1, 2025 @ 7:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Take Inter Miami +145 over Nashville (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday November 1) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time – a DRAW is a loser here) These sides have played in consecutive matches, one in Nashville and one in Miami, and the result was the same with a dominating win by Messi and company. Messi has notched five goals himself in these two matches while Nashville’s whole team combined for only three goals. We just don’t think that home pitch will matter here and Miami wants to end this series in two matches. They have clearly looked like the best side in MLS with recent play and they have turned it up a notch and have been playing championship caliber football for their last four matches, where they have a goal differential of +12. Nashville will give a last gasp here and we don’t think this will be another blowout, but we do expect Miami to win by at least a goal and put this series to bed after two matches. Read More Read Less

LA Galaxy vs FC Dallas Prediction, 10/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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