Lazio vs Napoli Prediction, 1/4/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/3/2026

Game: Lazio vs Napoli

Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026

Location: Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Lazio (6-6-5) hosts Napoli (10-1-4) at Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy on Sunday. Lazio are priced at +102 while the Blues are at -122. The over/under is set at 3. The goaltenders who are expected to start are Ivan Provedel for Lazio and Vanja Milinkovic-Savic for Napoli.

soccer picks Pedro Lazio predictions best bet odds

The White and Sky Blues sit at 14th in regard to goals expected with 17.6, and their expected goals against are coming in at 21.2. The White and Sky Blues have surrendered 12 goals while conceding 0.71 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have tallied 74 shots on target against them. This team's difference in goals is at 6 with the help of 18 goals notched and also 12 goals surrendered. They have amassed 9 clean sheets, which puts them at a rate of 52.9% on the season. Lazio has earned 62 saves and they also hold a save percentage of 83.8% this year. Lazio has recorded 32 yellow card warnings for the year and also 5 red cards. For the season, the club has an average of 1.41 pts/match (24 points) and they also rank 12th in European soccer with 12 assists.

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Napoli has earned 22 goals and the team's expected goals so far this year sits at 21.3. The club's goals against per 90 is at 0.87 in addition to 26 saves, and they have a total of 5 shutouts. This season, S.S.C. Napoli has a save percentage of 68.3% (41 SoTA), and also sit at 4th in Big 5 soccer with 31 pts. Napoli ranks 6th in the category of goals relinquished having 13, and their goal difference is sitting at 9. S.S.C. Napoli has earned a shut out rate of 33.3% for the season and 22 yellow card warnings. The Blues hold an average of 2.1 pts per match while earning 14 assists.

The man protecting the net for Lazio is Ivan Provedel. Provedel has defended the goal for 17,063 mins and has tallied 559 stops in his pro soccer career. Provedel (73-45-71 record in his career) has accumulated 55 clean sheets, which has earned him a 29.0%% shutout rate. The keeper from Italy has faced 813 shots tried against him in 189 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.37 (260 goals surrendered) and his save % is 68.8%.

Vanja Milinkovic-Savic will be looking after the net for Napoli. So far in his career, Savic has allowed 167 goals and has accounted for 418 saves in 157 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.07 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 57-49-51. He has a save percentage of 70.8% and his shutout rate sits at 30.0%%. Savic has racked up 47 shutouts and defended 590 shots against him in 14,114 mins throughout his career.

Pedro is a member of the side you are going to want to keep your eye on for Lazio. He has accounted for 88 assists while tallying 412 pts thus far in his career. The forward from Spain has racked up 162 goals scored in 39,036 mins. Pedro has been a starter in 425 outings so far in his career and he tallies 0.37 G/90.

Napoli stars Matteo Politano, who can cause havoc on the pitch. He averages 0.23 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 346 matches thus far in his career. The forward born in Italy has 29,497 professional minutes while scoring 74 goals. He has accumulated 200 pts in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 52 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Napoli (+102)

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Pick:	GREEN BAY PACKERS +6.5
Start:	January 4, 2026 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #335 Green Bay Packers +6.5 over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, January 4 CBS) Green Bay is locked into the No. 7 seed in the NFC Playoffs and thus the experts are expecting them to rest a lot of players in this game. Minnesota is still very weak at the quarterback position, and I am not sure this is a good spot for them laying this many points against a divisional opponent. Does Green Bay really want to enter the playoffs getting blown out in this game making it 4 straight losses? I think they will play some key players and be able to take this game down to the wire. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card featuring top plays in NFL, College Football, NBA, and NHL. Sign- up now and let 54 years of handicapping experience work for you. Read More Read Less

Lazio vs Napoli Prediction, 1/4/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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