Lecce vs Napoli Prediction, 5/3/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/30/2025

Game: Lecce vs Napoli

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare in Lecce, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Lecce (6-9-19) will compete against Napoli (22-8-4) at Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare in Lecce, Italy on Saturday. The Yellow and Reds are priced at +102 while the Blues are at -122. The betting total is set at 3. The starting goalkeepers are Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce and Alex Meret for Napoli.

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Lecce has earned 112 SVs and also have earned a SV percentage of 66.3% for the year. This team's goal differential is currently at -32 by means of 24 goals put in the net and 56 goals relinquished. On the campaign, this squad has an average of 0.79 pts/match (27 points) and they also sit at 87th in Big 5 soccer with 18 assists. The Yellow and Reds sit at 83rd in the category of goals expected with 32.0, and the squad's expected goals against are 53.9. Lecce has compiled 55 yellow card warnings this year and also 5 red cards. U.S. Lecce has surrendered 56 goals while giving up 1.65 goals per 90, and opposing teams are sitting with 166 SoT on them. They have 7 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a % of 20.6% this season.

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The Blues average 2.2 pts per match while earning 38 assists. S.S.C. Napoli has accounted for a clean sheet rate of 47.1% for the season and also 42 yellow cards. Napoli sits at 1st in regard to goals allowed with 25, and the squad's goal difference is coming in at 29. For the year, S.S.C. Napoli has a save rate of 71.6% (88 shots on target against), and sit at 5th among European teams with 74 points. Their goals against per 90 min is 0.74 with 62 saves, and they have accumulated 16 shutouts. Napoli has compiled 54 goals and the squad's expected goals so far this year sits at 47.9.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Lecce will be Wladimiro Falcone. Falcone has seen the field for 10,935 minutes and is sitting with 392 stops thus far in his career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.44 (175 goals surrendered) and he has earned a save percentage of 69.8%. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has faced 562 shots tried against him in 121 starts. Falcone (24-37-60 record in his career) has 22 clean sheets, which has earned him a 18.1%% shutout percentage.

Alex Meret is expected to look after the goal for Napoli. During his career, Meret has conceded 180 goals and has earned 390 stops in 171 starts. He has earned a save percentage of 68.1% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 31.7%%. He has allowed 1.06 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 93-44-34. Meret has earned 54 shutouts while defending 573 shots against him in 15,337 career mins.

Nikola Krstovic is one player who can make an impact for Lecce. The forward hailing from Montenegro has tallied 19 goals in 5,680 mins. Krstovic has been given a starting assignment in 67 matches in his career and he accounts for 0.30 goals per 90 mins. He has totaled 4 assists while accumulating 42 points during his soccer career.

Napoli has an attacker in Romelu Lukaku, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He sports an average of 0.57 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 531 matches in his pro soccer career. The forward hailing from Belgium has earned 48,048 professional minutes and he has scored 306 goals. He has totaled 706 pts in his career and has helped on a goal 94 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lecce (-122)

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Lecce vs Napoli Prediction, 5/3/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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