Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction, 9/27/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/24/2025

Game: Manchester City vs Burnley

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England

TV: Fubo TV

Manchester City (2-1-2) will try to beat Burnley (1-1-3) at Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England on Saturday. Manchester City are priced at -128 and the Clarets are priced at +106. The over/under comes in at 3. The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Gianluigi Donnarumma for Manchester City and Martin Dubravka for Burnley.

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Manchester City has amassed 15 SVs and have earned a save percentage of 75.0% on the campaign. The team's goal differential is currently at 4 by way of 9 goals scored and 5 goals allowed. For the season, this team is sitting with an average of 1.40 points per fixture (7 pts) and also rank 2nd among European teams with 8 assists. The Citizens sit at 2nd in xG having 9.4, and the xGA are 6.0. Manchester City has accounted for 7 yellow cards so far this year. Man City has conceded 5 goals while conceding 1.00 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have compiled 20 SoT on them. They have recorded 2 shut outs, which puts them at a percentage of 40.0% for the year.

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So far this year, Burnley F.C. has a save % of 68.0% (25 SoT against), and have a rank of 17th in Big 5 soccer with 4 pts. The Clarets have an average of 0.8 pts per fixture while amassing 4 assists and 1 red card. Burnley has tallied 5 goals and their goals expected this season sits at 4.1. Burnley F.C. has accounted for a CS% of 20.0% on the season as well as 8 yellow card warnings. This club's goals against/90 min is currently at 1.60 with 18 saves, and they have earned 1 clean sheet. Burnley is 15th in the matter of goals allowed having 8, and their difference in goals is sitting at -3.

The guy protecting the net for Manchester City is Gianluigi Donnarumma. Donnarumma has defended the goal for a total of 28,468 minutes and has tallied 899 saves so far in his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.04 (330 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of 73.0%. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has had 1,231 shots tried at him in 321 starts. Donnarumma (185-72-62 record in his career) has earned 104 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 32.9%% shutout percentage.

Martin Dubravka will be looking after the goal for Burnley. In his career, Dubravka has given up 234 goals and has totaled 516 saves in 165 starting assignments. Dubravka has accumulated 48 clean sheets while defending 745 shots tried against him in 14,922 minutes throughout his career. He holds a save percentage of 69.3% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 29.0%%. He has allowed 1.41 goals per 90 mins while holding a record of 64-36-65.

Bernardo Silva is a member of the squad who should impact this matchup for Manchester City. The midfielder from Portugal has earned 98 goals scored in 38,568 mins. Silva has been given a starting assignment in 424 contests in his pro soccer career and scores 0.23 G/90. He has totaled 84 assists while accumulating 280 pts during his soccer career.

Burnley features a game changer in Jaidon Anthony, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He scores 0.22 goals per 90 mins and has started 112 matches during his career. The forward hailing from England has earned 10,448 professional minutes while earning 25 goals. He has 70 points during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 20 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Manchester City (+106)

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Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction, 9/27/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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