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Napoli vs Genoa Prediction, 5/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/7/2025

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Game: Napoli vs Genoa

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy

TV: Fubo

Napoli (23-8-4) will play Genoa (9-12-14) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy on Sunday. The Blues are priced at -150 while Genoa are at +125. The betting total comes in at 3. The expected starting goalkeepers will be Alex Meret for Napoli and Nicola Leali for Genoa.

soccer picks Alex Meret Napoli predictions best bet odds

The Blues are ranked 34th in regard to goals expected having 48.5, and their expected goals against are coming in at 28.5. S.S.C. Napoli has surrendered 25 goals while allowing 0.71 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have 89 SoT on them. Their difference in goals is at 30 with the help of 55 goals put in the net and 25 goals relinquished. They have 17 clean sheets, which puts them at a percentage of 48.6% on the year. Napoli has recorded 63 SVs and have a save rate of 71.9% on the campaign. Napoli has accounted for 42 yellow card warnings on the season. So far this year, the club holds an average of 2.20 pts per match (77 pts) and also are 35th among European teams with 38 assists.

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This season, Genoa C.F.C. has a save percentage of 68.6% (137 SoTA), and also have a ranking of 61st among European teams with 39 points. The Griffin come in with an average of 1.1 pts/match while accounting for 22 assists and 1 red card. Genoa has amassed 30 goals and the team's expected goals on the campaign is currently at 34.5. Genoa C.F.C. has recorded a clean sheet rate of 31.4% this year and 67 yellow cards. This team's goals against per 90 minutes is at 1.23 with 95 saves, and they have amassed 11 clean sheets. Genoa sits at 37th when talking about goals allowed with 43, and their goal differential is at -13.

The man who will defend the goal for Napoli is Alex Meret. Meret has played for 15,427 mins and has earned 391 stops so far in his career. The goalie born in Italy has had 574 shots tried against him in 172 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.05 (180 total goals conceded) and his save percentage is 68.1%. Meret (94-44-34 mark during his soccer career) has accumulated 55 shutouts, which leaves him with a 32.1%% clean sheet percentage.

Nicola Leali will be looking after the net for Genoa. In his pro soccer career, Leali has allowed 139 goals and has accumulated 295 saves in 92 starting assignments. Leali has racked up 21 shutouts and has seen 432 shots against him in 8,216 career minutes. He holds a save % of 68.3% and his clean sheet rate is 23.0%%. He has given up 1.52 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 21-25-46.

Romelu Lukaku is a man who can make an impact for Napoli. Lukaku has been a starter in 532 contests in his pro soccer career and has 0.57 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in Belgium has recorded 306 goals in 48,134 professional minutes played. He has 94 assists while accumulating 706 pts during his pro soccer career.

Genoa is being led by Andrea Pinamonti, who is known to give defenses fits. He scores 0.30 goals per 90 minutes and has started 172 matches so far in his career. The forward representing Italy has been on the field for 15,322 minutes and has scored 51 goals. He has 110 pts in his career and has assisted on a goal 8 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Genoa (-150)

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