New York City FC vs CF Montreal Prediction, 5/10/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/8/2025

Game: New York City FC vs CF Montreal

Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: MLS Season Pass

NYCFC (5-2-4) will play CFM (0-3-8) at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY on Saturday. NYCFC is priced at -122 and CFM is at +102. The total is 3. The starting goalkeepers will be Matt Freese for New York City and Jonathan Sirois for Montreal.

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The Pigeons sit at 15th when it comes to xG having 15.7, and the expected goals against sit at 14.9. NYCFC has relinquished 13 goals while giving up 1.18 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs have recorded 49 SoT against them. This team's goal differential is 0 by means of 13 goals compiled and also 13 goals given up. They have accumulated 4 clean sheets, which has them at a % of 36.4% on the campaign. New York City FC has accounted for 38 saves and they have earned a SV rate of 73.5% on the year. New York City has 17 yellow cards so far this year and 1 red card. On the year, the squad averages 1.55 points per fixture (17 points) and also rank 24th in MLS with 5 assists.

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CF Montreal has recorded 5 goals and their expected goals on the campaign is currently at 11.6. The team's goals against per 90 min is at 1.45 with 41 saves, and they have amassed 2 clean sheets. On the season, Montreal has a save rate of 71.9% (57 SoT against), and they also sit at 29th in MLS with 3 points. CF Montréal is 17th in relation to goals against having 16, and their goal differential is coming in at -11. Montreal has compiled a shut out rate of 18.2% so far this season in addition to 29 yellow card warnings. The Impact average 0.3 points per contest while having 3 assists.

The guy who will defend the goal for New York City is Matt Freese. Freese has seen the field for a total of 5,904 mins and is sitting with 215 saves thus far in his career. The goalkeeper hailing from the United States has had 294 shots attempted against him in 67 career starts. His GA/90 is 1.23 (81 goals surrendered) and his save percentage is 73.1%. Freese (27-20-20 mark in his career) has accumulated 16 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 24.4%% clean sheet percentage.

Jonathan Sirois will reside in front of the goal for Montreal. So far in his career, Sirois has allowed 124 goals and has tallied 244 saves in 75 starts. He has allowed 1.65 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 23-17-35. He has earned a save percentage of 67.0% and his shutout rate is currently at 28.0%%. Sirois has tallied 21 shutouts while defending 364 shots attempted against him in 6,758 mins in his career.

Monsef Bakrar is one footballer who could help decide the outcome for New York City. Bakrar has been in the starting lineup in 27 games in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.26 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in Algeria has 7 goals in 2,390 professional minutes played. He has accounted for 0 assists while tallying 14 pts in his career.

Montreal is being led onto the pitch by Fernando Alvarez, who can change the course of a fixture. He has totaled 3 points in his career and has assisted on a goal 1 times. The defenseman from Colombia has totaled 2,806 professional minutes and has earned 1 goals. He currently averages 0.03 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 30 games in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York City FC (+102)

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less

New York City FC vs CF Montreal Prediction, 5/10/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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