New York City FC vs D.C. United Prediction, 8/30/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/27/2025

Game: New York City FC vs D.C. United

Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: MLS Season Pass

NYCFC (12-5-8) will try to beat the Black-and-Red (4-8-15) at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY on Saturday. NYCFC is priced at -128 while the Black-and-Red are at +106. The over/under is set at 3. The expected starting goalkeepers are Matt Freese for New York City and Luis Barraza for DC.

soccer picks Matt Freese New York City FC predictions best bet odds

NYCFC has conceded 30 goals while relinquishing 1.20 goals per 90 min, and the other team have accumulated 106 shots on target on them. They are sitting with 7 clean sheets, which puts them at a percentage of 28.0% so far this season. New York City has recorded 45 yellow card warnings on the season as well as 1 red card. The Pigeons are ranked 16th in xG with 36.9, and their xGA are coming in at 32.7. This season, this team averages 1.64 pts/match (41 pts) and they also have a ranking of 15th in the league with 26 assists. This team's differential on goals is 6 by 36 goals tallied as well as 30 goals conceded. New York City FC has accumulated 80 SVs and they hold a SV percentage of 71.7% for the season.

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D.C. United has tallied 23 goals and their goals expected for the year is currently at 29.9. The team's goals against per 90 is at 1.93 with 85 saves, and they have 4 clean sheets. This season, the United have a save rate of 61.8% (136 SoT against), and also are 28th in the league with 20 pts. D.C. United ranks 29th in goals conceded having 52, and the team's goal differential is coming in at -29. The United have compiled a shut out % of 14.8% so far this season and 71 yellow card cautions. The United are averaging 0.7 pts per fixture while recording 15 assists and 1 red card.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for New York City will be Matt Freese. Freese has been on the pitch for a total of 6,984 mins and has tallied 252 saves during his pro soccer career. Freese (33-23-23 mark in his career) has recorded 19 shutouts, which has earned him a 24.5%% shutout percentage. The keeper from the United States has had 345 shots sent his way in 79 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.24 (96 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save % of 73.0%.

Luis Barraza is expected to look after the net for DC. During his pro soccer career, Barraza has given up 74 goals while earning 134 saves in 49 starting assignments. He has earned a save percentage of 65.0% and his clean sheet rate is 18.0%%. He has given up 1.48 goals per 90 while holding a mark of 11-16-22. Barraza has totaled 9 clean sheets while he has seen 206 shots against him in 4,489 minutes in his career.

Alonso Martinez is one guy to keep an eye out for New York City. Martinez has had a starting assignment in 41 matchups so far in his pro soccer career and tallies 0.77 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in Costa Rica has totaled 29 goals in 3,425 mins. He has 4 assists while tallying 62 points thus far in his career.

DC has a playmaker in Christian Benteke, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. The forward born in Belgium has totaled 7,323 mins while scoring 46 goals. He currently averages 0.57 G/90 and has started 84 games in his career. He has accounted for 101 pts during his soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 9 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take D.C. United (-128)

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New York City FC vs D.C. United Prediction, 8/30/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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