New York City FC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, 5/28/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York City FC vs Houston Dynamo

Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: MLS Season Pass

The Dynamo (4-5-6) are traveling to Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY on Wednesday where they will try to defeat NYCFC (7-3-5). NYCFC is priced at -182 and the Dynamo are at +150. The over/under has been set at 3. The expected starting goaltenders are Matt Freese for New York City and Jonathan Bond for Houston.

New York City FC has earned 49 SVs and hold a save percentage of 75.8% for the year. Their differential on goals is 3 by means of 18 goals accumulated and 15 goals given up. On the season, the club is sitting with an average of 1.60 pts per fixture (24 points) and they also have a ranking of 24th in MLS with 9 assists. The Pigeons are ranked 8th in the category of xG having 24.5, and the xGA are 17.6. New York City has earned 25 yellow card warnings so far this season as well as 1 red card. NYCFC has surrendered 15 goals while allowing 1.00 G/90, and opposing clubs are sitting with 62 SoT on them. They have a total of 6 shut outs, which gives them a rate of 40.0% this year.

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On the season, Houston has a save % of 66.7% (66 SoT against), and are ranked 21st in Major League Soccer with 17 points. The Dynamo hold an average of 1.1 points per match while amassing 14 assists and 2 red cards. The Houston Dynamo have earned 18 goals and this squad's expected goals for the season is sitting at 13.3. Houston has a clean sheet % of 40.0% this year as well as 37 yellow cards. This team's goals against/90 min is at 1.47 with 44 saves, and they have compiled 6 clean sheets. Houston Dynamo ranks 19th for goals against having 22, and the team's goal difference is -4.

The man protecting the net for New York City is Matt Freese. Freese has defended the goal for a total of 6,264 minutes and has tallied 226 saves thus far in his career. Freese (29-21-21 mark in his career) has accumulated 18 clean sheets, which has earned him a 25.9%% shutout rate. The goalkeeper hailing from the United States has had 307 shots attempted against him in 71 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.19 (83 goals given up) and he is the owner of a save % of 73.6%.

Jonathan Bond is expected to look after the net for Houston. So far in his pro soccer career, Bond has surrendered 157 goals while totaling 309 stops in 96 starting assignments. Bond has racked up 18 shutouts and defended 463 shots attempted against him in 8,529 minutes throughout his career. He holds a save percentage of 66.7% and his shutout rate sits at 19.0%%. He has allowed 1.66 goals per 90 and he has earned a record of 35-28-33.

Alonso Martinez is a player who can create chances for New York City. The forward hailing from Costa Rica has accumulated 24 goals scored in 2,753 minutes played. Martinez has been given a starting assignment in 33 matchups so far in his career and tallies 0.78 goals per 90 minutes. He has totaled 4 assists while tallying 52 points so far in his career.

Houston has a player in Ezequiel Ponce, who is known to give defenses fits. The forward who is from Argentina has played 1,939 professional minutes while scoring 9 goals. He currently averages 0.42 goals per 90 mins and has started 23 matches in his career. He has 19 pts in his career and has assisted on a goal 1 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York City FC (+150)

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