New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, 5/17/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/14/2025

Game: New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls

Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: MLS Season Pass

Citi Field in Queens, NY is the site where the Red Bulls (5-3-4) will attempt to defeat NYCFC (5-2-5) on Saturday. NYCFC is priced at +150 and the Red Bulls are at -182. The over/under is 3. The goalkeepers protecting the net are Matt Freese for New York City and Carlos Coronel for New York.

soccer picks Carlos Coronel New York Red Bulls predictions best bet odds

NYCFC has allowed 14 goals while relinquishing 1.17 goals per 90, and their opponents have 56 shots on target on them. They have a total of 4 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 33.3% for the season. New York City is sitting with 19 yellow cards on the year as well as 1 red card. The Pigeons are 16th in the category of goals expected having 16.5, and the expected goals against are 16.1. So far this season, this team is averaging 1.42 pts per contest (17 points) and also rank 25th in MLS with 5 assists. This team's goal differential is at -1 with 13 goals put in the net and also 14 goals relinquished. New York City FC has a total of 44 SVs and they have earned a SV percentage of 75.0% so far this season.

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On the year, New York has a save rate of 76.8% (56 SoT against), and rank 12th in MLS soccer with 18 pts. The Red Bulls average 1.5 pts/match while tallying 12 assists and 1 red card. The New York Red Bulls have accounted for 19 goals and the team's xG this season is at 18.0. New York has accounted for a shut out percentage of 41.7% this year in addition to 27 yellow card cautions. Their goals against/90 min is currently at 1.08 with 43 saves, and they have accounted for 5 clean sheets. NY Red Bulls is 6th in the category of goals allowed with 13, and the team's goal difference sits at 6.

The man who will defend the goal for New York City is Matt Freese. Freese has been on the field for 5,994 minutes and has 221 stops so far in his career. Freese (27-20-21 mark in his career) has earned 16 shutouts, which has earned him a 24.0%% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper from the United States has had 301 shots attempted at him in 68 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.23 (82 total goals conceded) and he has earned a save % of 73.4%.

Carlos Coronel will be residing in front of the goal for New York. So far in his career, Coronel has given up 169 goals and has accounted for 338 stops in 142 starting assignments. He holds a save % of 66.9% and his clean sheet rate sits at 28.8%%. He has given up 1.19 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 55-40-47. Coronel has accumulated 41 clean sheets and has defended 505 shots against him in 12,830 minutes throughout his career.

Alonso Martinez is one member of the team who has a chance to score for New York City. Martinez has been given a starting assignment in 30 contests during his career while he scores 0.79 goals per 90 minutes. The forward hailing from Costa Rica has 22 goals scored in 2,484 minutes. He has accounted for 3 assists while tallying 47 pts in his pro soccer career.

New York has a playmaker in Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting, who can change the course of a fixture. The forward who is from Cameroon has earned 1,039 professional minutes while scoring 6 goals. He scores 0.50 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 12 outings so far in his career. He has 12 points during his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 0 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York City FC (-182)

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Pick:	Borussia Dortmund -2.5 (-135)
Start:	May 17, 2025 @ 9:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp German Bundesliga Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Borussia Dortmund -2.5 (-135) over Holstein Kiel (9:30 a.m. EST, Saturday May 17) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) The last time these sides met at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, the home side cruised to a 5-0 victory. We feel that there is a great chance we see that type of match here. Dortmund is one point out of Champions League qualification, right behind Freiburg, and three points is crucial here. Holstein Kiel has already been relegated, so they have lost their fighting spirit here and will be preparing for their stint in the second division next season. The home side has won five straight and beat Wolfsburg 4-0 in their last home match. They should have a similar type game here, as they need these points badly and they will not leave anything to chance as they will attack early and often against an overmatched opponent. Read More Read Less

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, 5/17/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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