Newcastle United vs Chelsea Prediction, 5/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/6/2025

Game: Newcastle United vs Chelsea

Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025

Location: St. James' Park in Tyne, England

TV: fuboTV

St. James' Park in Tyne, England is the location where Chelsea (18-9-8) will take on Newcastle United (19-6-10) on Sunday. Newcastle United are priced at +126 while the Pensioners are at -152. The total has been set at 3. The goalies expected to start will be Nick Pope for Newcastle United and Robert Sanchez for Chelsea.

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The Magpies sit at 12th in the category of expected goals having 59.5, and their expected goals against are coming in at 43.1. The Magpies have allowed 45 goals while surrendering 1.29 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents have tallied 148 SoT on them. The team's goal differential is 21 by means of 66 goals accumulated in addition to 45 goals relinquished. They are sitting with 12 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 34.3% for the season. Newcastle United has accounted for 104 SVs and they hold a SV percentage of 69.6% on the campaign. Newcastle United has compiled 60 yellow cards for the season and also 1 red card. On the season, this club averages 1.80 pts per contest (63 points) and they also sit at 11th in European soccer with 48 assists.

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Chelsea has earned 62 goals and the team's goals expected so far this year is currently at 65.2. The team's goals against per 90 minutes is at 1.17 with 104 saves, and they are sitting with 9 clean sheets. For the year, the Blues have a save percentage of 71.9% (146 shots on target against), and also are 13th among European teams with 63 pts. Chelsea is 30th for goals against having 41, and the team's difference in goals sits at 21. The Blues have tallied a clean sheet rate of 25.7% on the season and 96 yellow cards. The Blues hold an average of 1.8 points per match while earning 45 assists and 1 red card.

The man defending the goal for Newcastle Utd is Nick Pope. Pope has defended the goal for 19,511 minutes and has accumulated 664 saves in his pro soccer career. Pope (84-64-69 mark during his career) has earned 73 shutouts, which gives him a 33.7%% shutout rate. The goalie from England has had 912 shots tried against him in 217 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.15 (250 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of 72.8%.

Robert Sanchez is expected to look after the goal for Chelsea. So far in his career, Sanchez has surrendered 156 goals and has racked up 347 saves in 132 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.18 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 50-43-39. He has earned a save % of 69.1% and his shutout rate is 28.8%%. Sanchez has tallied 38 shutouts while defending 502 shots against him in 11,872 career mins.

Alexander Isak is a player who can be a force for Newcastle Utd. The forward hailing from Sweden has 124 goals in 18,243 mins played. Isak has been given a starting assignment in 215 games in his career and he accounts for 0.61 G/90. He has accounted for 25 assists while tallying 273 pts in his career.

Chelsea is being led by Cole Palmer, who should keep defenses up at night. The midfielder from England has 8,053 mins while scoring 46 goals. He currently averages 0.51 goals per 90 minutes and has started 86 outings during his career. He has earned 117 pts so far in his career and has helped on a goal 25 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chelsea (+126)

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less

Newcastle United vs Chelsea Prediction, 5/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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