San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CITY SC Prediction, 9/20/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/16/2025

Game: San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CITY SC

Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025

Location: PayPal Park in San Jose, CA

TV: MLS Season Pass

CITY (6-7-17) are hitting the road to PayPal Park in San Jose, CA on Saturday where they will take on the Earthquakes (9-8-13). The Earthquakes are priced at -144 and St. Louis is at +120. The total is set at 3. The starting goalies are Daniel for San Jose and Roman Burki for St. Louis.

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The San Jose Earthquakes have a total of 96 SVs and also hold a SV percentage of 63.1% for the season. Their goal differential is currently at 0 with 55 goals put in the net and 55 goals allowed. This season, the club averages 1.17 pts per contest (35 points) and also are 6th in the league with 39 assists. The Earthquakes are 1st when talking about expected goals having 56.2, and their xGA are 49.8. San Jose has amassed 77 yellow cards so far this year and also 4 red cards. San Jose has surrendered 55 goals while giving up 1.83 goals per 90 min, and the other team have accumulated 149 SoT on them. They have a total of 4 clean sheets, which gives them a percentage of 13.3% on the season.

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Over the course of the season, CITY has a save percentage of 67.1% (155 SoT against), and they also sit at 28th in MLS with 25 pts. The St. Louis Soccer Club have put together an average of 0.8 pts per match while accumulating 24 assists and 4 red cards. St. Louis City SC has totaled 36 goals and this team's expected goals over the course of the season is sitting at 43.4. St. Louis has compiled a shut out percentage of 20.0% so far this season as well as 57 yellow card cautions. The club's goals against per 90 min is 1.70 in addition to 105 saves, and they have a total of 6 clean sheets. St. Louis is 23rd in relation to goals conceded with 51, and the difference in goals is sitting at -15.

The man defending the goal for San Jose is Daniel. Daniel has defended the goal for a total of 5,250 mins and is sitting with 215 saves during his soccer career. Daniel (15-19-26 record in his career) has totaled 8 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 13.7%% clean sheet rate. The goalie from Brazil has seen 310 shots tried at him in 60 starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.62 (95 total goals allowed) and his save % is 69.4%.

Roman Burki will be looking after the goal for St. Louis. So far in his career, Burki has surrendered 134 goals and has earned 297 stops in 86 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.57 goals per 90 and he has earned a record of 30-23-33. He sports a save % of 70.0% and his clean sheet rate is currently 22.3%%. Burki has accumulated 19 shutouts while defending 424 shots tried against him in 7,681 mins in his career.

Cristian Arango is one member of the squad who can be a force for San Jose. The forward from Colombia has tallied 65 goals scored in 9,000 professional minutes played. Arango has been given a starting assignment in 104 matchups during his career and he accounts for 0.65 goals per 90 minutes. He has totaled 15 assists while earning 145 points thus far in his career.

St. Louis features an attacker in Klauss, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. The forward born in Brazil has been on the pitch for 5,353 mins while scoring 24 goals. He scores 0.40 G/90 and has started 62 outings thus far in his career. He has 54 pts in his career and has assisted on a goal 6 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis CITY SC (-144)

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Pick:	UNDER 54.5
Start:	September 20, 2025 @ 7:05 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #386 Under 54.5 in Nevada Wolf Pack @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7p.m., Saturday, September 20 ESPN+) We went against Nevada last week for a free pick winner, as Middle Tennessee State +9 beat them straight-up. We will go back to well again on September 20 with a Nevada game, but this time take the under. Nevada has major issues at quarterback, and they have trouble scoring points this season. In their first three games they have scored 11, 17, and 13 points. WKU is a higher scoring team, but I expect Nevada to dictate the pace of this game and keep the scoring low. Take the under in this game. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in Football, WNBA, and NASCAR. Sign-up now and let 54 years of handicapping experience work for you. Read More Read Less

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CITY SC Prediction, 9/20/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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