SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, 5/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/29/2025

Game: SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025

Location: Schwarzwald-Stadion in Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany

TV: SlingTV Orange

The Company's Eleven (19-10-2) are on their way to Schwarzwald-Stadion in Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany on Sunday where they will take on SC Freiburg (15-6-10). SC Freiburg are priced at +172 and the Company's Eleven are at -210. The total has been set at 3. The expected starting goaltenders are Florian Muller for SC Freiburg and Matej Kovar for Bayer Leverkusen.

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The Breisgau Brazilians are ranked 52nd in relation to xG having 41.2, and their expected goals against sit at 39.2. Sport-Club Freiburg has surrendered 47 goals while surrendering 1.52 goals per 90, and the other team have accounted for 139 shots on target against them. The team's differential on goals is at -3 with the help of 44 goals finished as well as 47 goals conceded. They have a total of 11 clean sheets, which has them at a rate of 35.5% for the season. Freiburg has a total of 91 SVs and also have earned a save rate of 66.2% for the season. SC Freiburg has accumulated 51 yellow cards so far this year and also 2 red cards. So far this season, the club has an average of 1.65 pts per match (51 points) and also are 46th in Big 5 soccer with 32 assists.

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Leverkusen has totaled 66 goals and the team's expected goals for the year is currently at 53.2. The club's goals against/90 min is 1.13 with 88 saves, and they have compiled 9 shutouts. So far this year, Leverkusen has a save % of 70.8% (120 shots on target against), and are ranked 9th in Big 5 soccer with 67 pts. Leverkusen is 17th in goals surrendered having 35, and the team's goal difference is at 31. Bayer 04 Leverkusen has accounted for a shut out rate of 29.0% so far this year and also 54 yellow cards. The Company's Eleven come in with an average of 2.2 pts per fixture while earning 48 assists and 1 red card.

The man who will protect the net for Freiburg will be Florian Muller. Muller has seen the field for 11,598 mins and has tallied 402 stops during his career. Muller (37-31-60 mark during his career) has recorded 20 shutouts, which has earned him a 15.5%% clean sheet percentage. The keeper born in Germany has had 622 shots tried at him in 128 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.71 (221 total goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 64.6%.

Matej Kovar will look after the net for Leverkusen. During his career, Kovar has surrendered 3 goals and has accounted for 13 saves in 5 starting assignments. He has earned a save percentage of 81.3% and his shutout rate is currently at 80.0%%. He has conceded 0.60 goals per 90 while he holds a record of 3-1-1. Kovar has tallied 4 shutouts and defended 16 shots tried against him in 450 career mins.

Ritsu Doan is a man who can help decide the match for Freiburg. The forward representing Japan has racked up 59 goals scored in 20,946 minutes played. Doan has been a starter in 243 outings during his pro soccer career and accounts for 0.25 G/90. He has totaled 31 assists while accumulating 149 pts in his career.

Leverkusen is being led onto the pitch by Patrik Schick, who should keep defenses up at night. He has collected 238 points in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 16 times. The forward representing Czech Republic has totaled 17,429 professional minutes while earning 111 goals. He sports an average of 0.57 G/90 and has been in the starting lineup in 191 matches during his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take SC Freiburg (-210)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, 5/4/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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