St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, 9/27/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/24/2025

Game: St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, Germany

TV: ESPN+

St. Pauli (2-1-1) will play Bayer Leverkusen (1-2-1) at Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, Germany on Saturday. St. Pauli are priced at +126 while the Company's Eleven are at -152. The total is set at 3. The expected starting goalkeepers will be Nikola Vasilj for St. Pauli and Mark Flekken for Bayer Leverkusen.

soccer picks Patrik Schick Bayer Leverkusen predictions best bet odds

The Neighbourhood Kickers are 11th for xG having 5.4, and the xGA are sitting at 4.8. Sport-Club St. Pauli has allowed 6 goals while conceding 1.50 goals per 90, and their opponents have recorded 22 shots on target against them. This team's differential on goals is at 1 because of 7 goals notched in addition to 6 goals conceded. They have tallied 1 clean sheet, giving them a % of 25.0% over the course of the season. St. Pauli has amassed 14 saves and have earned a save percentage of 72.7% for the year. St. Pauli is sitting with 8 yellow card warnings this year. For the year, this club comes in with an average of 1.75 points per contest (7 points) and are 11th in Big 5 soccer with 4 assists.

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The Company's Eleven average 1.3 pts per match while amassing 3 assists and 2 red cards. Bayer 04 Leverkusen has gotten 13 yellow cards. Leverkusen is ranked 9th when it comes to goals conceded with 7, and the goal difference is coming in at 1. This season, Leverkusen has a save percentage of 63.2% (19 shots on target against), and also are ranked 11th in European soccer with 5 pts. Their goals against per 90 is currently at 1.75 with 12 saves. Leverkusen has totaled 8 goals and the squad's expected goals for the season is currently at 6.4.

The man defending the goal for St. Pauli is Nikola Vasilj. Vasilj has played for a total of 3,329 minutes and has earned 107 saves so far in his pro soccer career. Vasilj (10-8-19 mark in his professional soccer career) has accumulated 10 shutouts, which gives him a 27.0%% clean sheet percentage. The keeper born in Bosnia has faced 157 shots tried at him in 37 starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.22 (45 total goals allowed) and his save percentage is 68.2%.

Mark Flekken will look after the goal for Leverkusen. So far in his career, Flekken has conceded 229 goals and has accounted for 555 saves in 158 starting assignments. He holds a save % of 71.1% and his shutout rate is currently 25.5%%. He has given up 1.46 goals per 90 mins and he has a record of 65-40-53. Flekken has totaled 40 clean sheets and has defended 781 shots against him in 14,120 career minutes.

Mathias Pereira Lage is a player who could help decide the outcome for St. Pauli. Lage has had a starting assignment in 195 matchups so far in his career and he scores 0.20 G/90. The forward born in Portugal has tallied 40 goals scored in 17,609 mins played. He has accounted for 27 assists while accumulating 107 points in his career.

Leverkusen is being led onto the pitch by Patrik Schick, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He averages 0.58 goals per 90 mins and has started 205 matches so far in his pro soccer career. The forward from Czech Republic has totaled 18,826 mins while earning 122 goals. He has accumulated 261 points during his career and has helped on a goal 17 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Pauli (-152)

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St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, 9/27/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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