Udinese vs AC Milan Prediction, 4/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/9/2025

Game: Udinese vs AC Milan

Date: Friday, April 11, 2025

Location: Bluenergy Stadium in Udine, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Udinese (11-7-13) will try to defeat AC Milan (13-9-9) at Bluenergy Stadium in Udine, Italy on Friday. The White and Blacks are priced at +120 while AC Milan are priced at -144. The over/under has been set at 3. The expected starting goaltenders will be Maduka Okoye for Udinese and Mike Maignan for AC Milan.

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The White and Blacks rank 77th in relation to goals expected with 31.0, and the squad's xGA sit at 41.0. Udinese Calcio has allowed 42 goals while conceding 1.35 goals per 90, and opponents have accounted for 130 SoT against them. This team's goal differential is at -6 as a result of 36 goals tallied as well as 42 goals given up. They have amassed 8 shut outs, which puts them at a percentage of 25.8% this year. Udinese has accounted for 93 SVs and they are the owners of a SV percentage of 67.7% for the year. Udinese has earned 72 yellow cards this year and 4 red cards. For the season, this club is sitting with an average of 1.29 pts per match (40 points) and also sit at 57th in European soccer with 24 assists.

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On the season, the Red and Blacks have a save % of 68.4% (117 SoTA), and also sit at 30th among European teams with 48 pts. The Red and Blacks are averaging 1.5 pts per match while amassing 32 assists and 5 red cards. AC Milan has earned 47 goals and the squad's expected goals this season sits at 53.9. The Red and Blacks have compiled a CS% of 32.3% so far this season and 60 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.19 with 82 saves, and they have accumulated 10 shut outs. Milan sits at 34th in goals conceded with 37, and the goal difference is sitting at 10.

The man who will defend the goal for Udinese is Maduka Okoye. Okoye has defended the goal for 3,510 minutes and has accumulated 118 stops in his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.31 (51 goals given up) and he holds a save percentage of 71.5%. The keeper born in Nigeria has had 165 shots attempted at him in 39 career starts. Okoye (10-11-18 mark during his career) has recorded 8 clean sheets, which gives him a 20.5%% clean sheet rate.

Mike Maignan will look after the goal for Milan. Thus far in his career, Maignan has surrendered 257 goals and has earned 659 stops in 260 starting assignments. He has conceded 0.99 goals per 90 mins and he has a record of 139-59-62. He is the owner of a save percentage of 72.2% and his shutout rate is currently at 39.2%%. Maignan has totaled 102 clean sheets while he has seen 913 shots attempted against him in 23,414 career mins.

Lorenzo Lucca is a member of the side who could help decide the outcome for Udinese. The forward representing Italy has totaled 33 goals scored in 7,835 professional minutes played. Lucca has started 88 matchups so far in his pro soccer career and has 0.38 goals per 90 minutes. He has 13 assists while accumulating 79 pts during his soccer career.

Milan features a game changer in Christian Pulisic, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. He is currently averaging 0.30 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 227 games during his pro soccer career. The midfielder hailing from the United States has 20,918 mins while scoring 69 goals. He has accumulated 192 pts in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 54 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AC Milan (+120)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

Udinese vs AC Milan Prediction, 4/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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