Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction, 5/12/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/7/2025

Game: Venezia vs Fiorentina

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza in Ferrara, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Venezia (4-14-17) will try to defeat Fiorentina (17-8-10) at Stadio Paolo Mazza in Ferrara, Italy on Monday. Venezia are priced at +126 and Fiorentina are at -152. The total comes in at 3. The goaltenders who are expected to start are Ionut Radu for Venezia and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

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The Lagunari have a ranking of 84th in the category of expected goals with 32.5, and their xGA sit at 52.9. The Lagunari have allowed 49 goals while surrendering 1.40 goals per 90 min, and their opponents have accumulated 173 SoT on them. The team's differential on goals is currently at -21 with the help of 28 goals accumulated as well as 49 goals allowed. They have 6 shut outs, giving them a rate of 17.1% so far this season. Venezia has tallied 126 saves and have earned a SV% of 71.7% this year. Venezia has compiled 72 yellow cards on the campaign and also 2 red cards. So far this year, the club is sitting with an average of 0.74 points per match (26 points) and are ranked 95th in Big 5 soccer with 14 assists.

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The Purples have put together an average of 1.7 pts per contest while recording 35 assists and 3 red cards. ACF Fiorentina has recorded a clean sheet percentage of 34.3% on the campaign and 72 yellow cards. Fiorentina sits at 15th in goals against having 35, and the squad's difference in goals sits at 18. On the season, ACF Fiorentina has a save rate of 74.6% (138 shots on target against), and also have a rank of 22nd in European soccer with 59 points. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.00 with 102 saves, and they have accumulated 12 clean sheets. Fiorentina has recorded 53 goals and their expected goals over the course of the season is 43.3.

The man who will defend the goal for Venezia will be Ionut Radu. Radu has seen the field for 8,325 minutes and has 313 stops during his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.52 (141 total goals given up) and his save % is 68.8%. The goalie hailing from Romania has faced 455 shots attempted at him in 92 starting assignments. Radu (15-35-42 mark in his career) has earned 18 shutouts, which gives him a 19.5%% clean sheet percentage.

David de Gea will look after the net for Fiorentina. In his career, Gea has given up 559 goals and has 1,436 saves in 504 starts. He has allowed 1.11 goals per 90 mins while holding a mark of 267-114-123. He sports a save % of 72.2% and his clean sheet rate sits at 34.4%%. Gea has racked up 173 clean sheets and has defended 1,988 shots against him in 45,298 mins in his career.

Joel Pohjanpalo is a member of the team who has a chance to score for Venezia. The forward born in Finland has totaled 121 goals in 19,432 mins. Pohjanpalo has been given a starting assignment in 217 games so far in his pro soccer career and tallies 0.56 G/90. He has totaled 19 assists while earning 261 points during his career.

Fiorentina features a game changer in Moise Kean, who should keep defenses up at night. He has accounted for 136 pts so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 8 times. The forward from Italy has played 11,573 mins while scoring 64 goals. He is averaging 0.50 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 124 outings so far in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Venezia (-152)

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Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction, 5/12/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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