VfB Stuttgart vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, 10/26/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: VfB Stuttgart vs FSV Mainz 05

Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025

Location: MHPArena in Berlin, Germany

TV: ESPN+

VfB Stuttgart (5-0-2) are hosting FSV Mainz 05 (1-1-5) at MHPArena in Berlin, Germany on Sunday. The Swambians are priced at -145 and the O-Fives are at +125. The over/under has been set at 3. The expected starting goaltenders are Alexander Nubel for VfB Stuttgart and Lasse Riess for FSV Mainz 05.

Stuttgart has a total of 19 SVs and hold a SV percentage of 76.0% this season. Their goal differential is at 5 by means of 11 goals finished in addition to 6 goals given up. On the campaign, this club is averaging 2.14 pts per match (15 points) and also sit at 5th in European soccer with 9 assists. The Swambians have a rank of 12th in regard to xG having 9.7, and the team's expected goals against sit at 6.7. VfB Stuttgart has recorded 11 yellow cards on the campaign. VfB has give up 6 goals while surrendering 0.86 goals per 90 min, and their opponents have amassed 25 shots on target on them. They have recorded 4 clean sheets, which puts them at a % of 57.1% on the year.

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For the season, Mainz has a save percentage of 57.6% (33 shots on target against), and sit at 17th among European teams with 4 pts. The O-Fives average 0.6 pts/match while accumulating 3 assists and 3 red cards. Mainz has tallied 8 goals and the squad's xG on the season is currently at 9.7. Mainz 05 has accumulated 17 yellow card warnings. This club's goals against/90 min is currently at 2.00 in addition to 19 saves. Mainz 05 is ranked 14th in relation to goals relinquished with 14, and their difference in goals is -6.

The man who will defend the goal for Stuttgart will be Alexander Nubel. Nubel has seen the pitch for 17,269 minutes and is sitting with 557 saves so far in his career. Nubel (90-44-58 record in his career) has 52 clean sheets, which gives him a 27.1%% shutout percentage. The keeper hailing from Germany has seen 811 shots tried against him in 192 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.38 (264 goals allowed) and he holds a save percentage of 68.7%.

Lasse Riess will reside in front of the goal for Mainz 05. Thus far in his career, Riess has allowed 10 goals while tallying 15 stops in 4 starting assignments. He has allowed 2.38 goals per 90 mins while holding a mark of 1-1-2. He has a save % of 60.0% and his shutout rate sits at 0.0%%. Riess has racked up 0 clean sheets and has defended 25 shots attempted against him in 382 mins in his career.

Deniz Undav is one guy who can create chances for Stuttgart. He has totaled 44 assists while tallying 254 points so far in his career. The forward born in Germany has accumulated 105 goals scored in 15,202 minutes played. Undav has been in the starting lineup in 168 matches in his career and scores 0.62 G/90.

Mainz 05 is being led onto the pitch by Lee Jae-sung, who can cause havoc on the pitch. The midfielder born in Korea has been on the pitch for 29,031 minutes while scoring 74 goals. He is currently averaging 0.23 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 334 matches in his pro soccer career. He has totaled 203 points so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 55 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take VfB Stuttgart (+125)

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