Villarreal vs Osasuna Prediction, 5/3/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/30/2025

Game: Villarreal vs Osasuna

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal, Spain

TV: Premier Sports

Villarreal (15-10-8) are welcoming Osasuna (10-14-9) at Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal, Spain on Saturday. Villarreal are priced at -182 while the Reds are at +150. The over/under comes in at 3. The men protecting the net are Luiz Lucio Reis Junior for Villarreal and Sergio Herrera for Osasuna.

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The Submarino Amarillos rank 15th in the category of xG having 56.2, and their xGA sit at 39.0. Villarreal CF has conceded 45 goals while relinquishing 1.36 G/90, and opposing clubs are sitting with 135 shots on target against them. The team's difference in goals is 11 with the help of 56 goals accumulated in addition to 45 goals allowed. They have 5 clean sheets, which puts them at a percentage of 15.2% on the year. Villarreal has accumulated 91 SVs and also have earned a SV percentage of 66.7% over the course of the season. Villarreal has 88 yellow card warnings on the year in addition to 4 red cards. So far this year, this team has put together an average of 1.67 points per match (55 pts) and are ranked 34th among European teams with 37 assists.

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Osasuna has totaled 40 goals and this squad's expected goals this year is at 37.4. Their goals against/90 minutes is 1.39 with 116 saves, and they have 7 clean sheets. Over the course of the season, the Reds have a save % of 71.4% (161 SoTA), and they also rank 48th in European soccer with 44 pts. Osasuna has a rank of 54th in relation to goals conceded with 46, and their goal differential is coming in at -6. The Reds have earned a clean sheet % of 21.2% on the year and also 81 yellow card cautions. The Reds average 1.3 points per match while sitting with 21 assists.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Villarreal will be Luiz Lucio Reis Junior. Reis Junior has defended the goal for a total of 1,098 minutes and has earned 33 saves during his soccer career. His GA/90 is 1.15 (14 goals given up) and he holds a save percentage of 70.2%. The goalie from Brazil has faced 47 shots attempted at him in 12 starts. Reis Junior (5-4-3 mark during his career) has earned 3 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 24.6%% shutout percentage.

Sergio Herrera will look after the goal for Osasuna. During his career, Herrera has conceded 231 goals and has earned 479 saves in 167 starts. He holds a save % of 67.3% and his shutout rate is 28.0%%. He has allowed 1.37 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 56-44-67. Herrera has recorded 47 shutouts while seeing 712 shots against him in 15,132 career mins.

Ayoze Perez is one man who can make a difference on the pitch for Villarreal. Perez has been given a starting assignment in 311 games in his career while scoring 0.35 G/90. The forward born in Spain has recorded 108 goals scored in 27,513 mins played. He has 38 assists while accumulating 254 points during his pro soccer career.

Osasuna has a playmaker in Ante Budimir, who pesters opposing defenses. He has collected 325 pts during his soccer career and has assisted on a goal 27 times. The forward representing Croatia has been on the pitch for 30,128 mins and has scored 149 goals. He has an average of 0.45 goals per 90 and has been in the starting lineup in 338 contests during his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Osasuna (-182)

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Pick:	DRAW (+230)
Start:	May 3, 2025 @ 12:30 AM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Saturday: Spanish LaLiga Take Las Palmas/Valencia DRAW (+230) (12:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 3) Valencia are the stronger side but they haven’t had the winning touch lately. They are coming off consecutive draws, and we think this one has a great chance to end up at a stalemate, and this is a great price for the draw. As of this writing, the under on total goals is juiced at -130 at 2.5, so a low scoring match is expected and we agree. So we have a couple chances at 0-0 or 1-1 for the under if it is indeed a low scoring match. Las Palmas has a single goal in their last two matches, and Valencia have scored one goal in three straight matches. We also like to target the draw in a likely low scoring match when the stronger team is the road side, and that is the case here on Saturday. Valencia have the second highest draw rate in LaLiga, as more than a third of their matches have ended tied. Again, nice value here and we think this one has a great chance to cash at a hefty price. Read More Read Less

Villarreal vs Osasuna Prediction, 5/3/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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