AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, 10/17/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/13/2026

Game: AC Milan vs Atalanta

Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026

Location: San Siro in Milano, Italy

TV: Paramount+, DAZN

AC Milan (3-2-0) welcomes Atalanta (2-0-3) at San Siro in Milano, Italy on Saturday. AC Milan are priced at -196 and The Goddess are priced +162. The over/under is 3. The expected starting goaltenders are Mike Maignan for AC Milan and Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta.

soccer picks Luka Modric AC Milan predictions best bet odds

AC Milan has earned 16 saves and are the owners of a save% of 76.2% on the campaign. This team's goal differential is currently at 5 by means of 10 goals notched as well as 5 goals surrendered. The Red and Blacks have a ranking of 17th for xG with 19.4, and their xGA are at 18.3. AC Milan has accounted for 12 yellow card warnings this year. The Red and Blacks have relinquished 5 goals while conceding 1.00 goals per 90, and opponents have 21 shots on target against them. They have tallied 2 shut outs, which has them sitting at a rate of 40.0% so far this season. On the season, this club has put together an average of 2.20 pts per match (11 points) and are 3rd in Big 5 soccer with 9 assists.

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The Goddess average 1.2 pts per match while recording 3 assists and 1 red card. Atalanta is ranked 8th concerning goals conceded with 7, and the goal differential is coming in at -2. Atalanta B.C. has earned a shut out rate of 20.0% this year and also 4 yellow cards. On the year, Atalanta B.C. has a save percentage of 78.1% (32 SoT against), and also rank 11th in Big 5 soccer with 6 pts. The club's goals against/90 minutes is currently at 1.40 in addition to 25 saves, and they have recorded 1 clean sheet. Atalanta has compiled 5 goals and the team's expected goals on the season is currently at 20.8.

The man who will protect the net for Milan is Mike Maignan. Maignan has defended the goal for a total of 34,514 mins and has tallied 991 stops so far in his career. Maignan (196-84-104 record in his career) has accumulated 138 clean sheets, which gives him a 36.0%% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper hailing from France has faced 1,374 shots attempted at him in 385 career starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.03 (394 total goals conceded) and he has a save % of 72.1%.

Marco Carnesecchi will be residing in front of the goal for Atalanta. Thus far in his career, Carnesecchi has allowed 299 goals and has accumulated 734 stops in 250 starts. He has earned a save % of 71.3% and his clean sheet rate sits at 29.2%%. He has surrendered 1.20 goals per 90 minutes while holding a record of 107-68-75. Carnesecchi has totaled 73 clean sheets and has defended 1,029 shots attempted against him in 22,509 minutes throughout his career.

Luka Modric is one guy who can be a difference maker for Milan. Modric has been in the starting lineup in 643 games so far in his career and tallies 0.12 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder from Croatia has totaled 74 goals in 57,093 minutes played. He has accounted for 116 assists while tallying 264 points during his pro soccer career.

Atalanta has a playmaker in Mario Pasalic, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He has earned 236 pts during his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 48 times. The midfielder born in Croatia has earned 28,832 minutes while scoring 94 goals. He currently averages 0.29 goals per 90 mins and has started 326 contests during his soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AC Milan (+162)

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AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, 10/17/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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