Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/6/2026

Game: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026

Location: Mendizorrotza in Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

TV: ESPN+, Premier Sports

Mendizorrotza in Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain is where Atletico Madrid (5-1-1) will attempt to beat Alaves (3-2-2) on Sunday. Alaves are priced at +220 and Atletico Madrid are priced -275. The over/under has been set at 3. The goalies who are expected to start are Antonio Sivera for Alaves and Jan Oblak for Atletico Madrid.

soccer picks Denis Suarez Alaves predictions best bet odds

Alaves has accounted for 22 saves and they also have earned a save rate of 78.6% on the campaign. Their differential on goals is at 5 because of 11 goals scored and also 6 goals allowed. The Babazorros are ranked 6th in regard to xG with 20.8, and their xGA are 22.0. Alaves has tallied 14 yellow cards on the year. Alaves have relinquished 6 goals while giving up 0.86 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents are sitting with 28 SoT on them. They have 3 clean sheets, which gives them a rate of 42.9% on the season. For the year, this squad is sitting with an average of 1.57 pts per match (11 points) and are 6th in European soccer with 8 assists.

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The Red and Whites are averaging 2.3 pts per fixture while having 11 assists and 1 red card. Atletico Madrid is 4th for goals conceded with 7, and their goal differential is at 9. Madrid has tallied a shut out rate of 42.9% this year and 12 yellow card warnings. On the season, Madrid has a save percentage of 69.6% (23 SoT against), and have a ranking of 2nd in Big 5 soccer with 16 pts. This team's goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 1.00 with 16 saves, and they have 3 clean sheets. Atletico Madrid has earned 16 goals and the squad's goals expected this season is at 22.5.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Alavés is Antonio Sivera. Sivera has been on the field for a total of 16,302 mins and has 420 saves so far in his career. The goalie hailing from Spain has faced 617 shots attempted at him in 181 starts. His GA/90 is 1.13 (204 total goals allowed) and he holds a save % of 68.1%. Sivera (64-48-69 record during his career) has recorded 52 clean sheets, which gives him a 28.7%% shutout percentage.

Jan Oblak will look after the goal for Atlético Madrid. So far in his pro soccer career, Oblak has given up 548 goals while tallying 1,547 saves in 607 starts. He holds a save % of 74.1% and his clean sheet rate is currently 42.4%%. He has surrendered 0.90 goals per 90 minutes and he has a mark of 337-134-135. Oblak has accumulated 259 shutouts while seeing 2,089 shots against him in 54,936 career minutes.

Denis Suarez is one member of the team who should impact this matchup for Alavés. Suarez has been given a starting assignment in 257 outings in his career and tallies 0.13 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder who is from Spain has 33 goals in 23,471 mins played. He has accounted for 57 assists while tallying 123 pts so far in his career.

Atlético Madrid features an attacker in Julian Alvarez, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He currently averages 0.57 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 231 contests in his career. The forward hailing from Argentina has been on the field for 20,873 professional minutes while scoring 133 goals. He has tallied 323 points thus far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 57 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alaves (-275)

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Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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