Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction, 5/2/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/1/2026

Game: Atalanta vs Genoa

Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026

Location: Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy

TV: Paramount+

The Griffin (10-9-15) are headed to Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy on Saturday where they will try to defeat Atalanta (14-12-8). The Goddess are priced at -130 while Genoa are at +110. The betting total is set at 3. The goalkeepers protecting the net will be Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta and Justin Bijlow for Genoa.

soccer picks Nikola Krstovic Atalanta predictions best bet odds

Atalanta has accounted for 98 saves and they also have earned a save rate of 75.0% for the season. Their goal differential is at 15 with the help of 47 goals scored as well as 32 goals allowed. So far this season, the squad averages 1.59 pts per fixture (54 pts) and they also are 7th in Big 5 soccer with 31 assists. The Goddess are ranked 4th in the matter of expected goals having 22.4, and the squad's xGA are 20.1. Atalanta has earned 52 yellow card warnings on the season and 2 red cards. Atalanta B.C. has allowed 32 goals while conceding 0.94 goals per 90 min, and opponents have amassed 128 shots on target on them. They have compiled 12 clean sheets, which puts them at a rate of 35.3% so far this year.

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Over the course of the season, Genoa C.F.C. has a save percentage of 65.0% (140 SoTA), and are ranked 14th among Big 5 teams with 39 points. The Griffin sport an average of 1.1 pts per fixture while recording 21 assists and 3 red cards. Genoa has compiled 40 goals and this team's expected goals on the campaign is currently at 22.5. Genoa C.F.C. has tallied a clean sheet percentage of 20.6% this year as well as 59 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.44 with 97 saves, and they have accounted for 7 shut outs. Genoa has a rank of 15th for goals against having 49, and their difference in goals is at -9.

The guy protecting the net for Atalanta will be Marco Carnesecchi. Carnesecchi has defended the goal for 10,975 mins and has tallied 377 stops in his career. Carnesecchi (52-33-37 record in his career) has accumulated 37 clean sheets, which has earned him a 30.4%% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper born in Italy has faced 517 shots attempted at him in 122 career starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.17 (143 goals given up) and he has a save percentage of 72.9%.

Justin Bijlow will be looking after the goal for Genoa. So far in his career, Bijlow has conceded 18 goals and has tallied 34 saves in 13 starting assignments. Bijlow has racked up 3 clean sheets while seeing 48 shots attempted against him in 1,125 career mins. He holds a save percentage of 70.8% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 24.0%%. He has given up 1.44 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 6-1-6.

Nikola Krstovic is one player who can be a difference maker for Atalanta. He has 10 assists while accumulating 72 points in his career. The forward from Montenegro has earned 31 goals scored in 7,615 mins. Krstovic has been given a starting assignment in 87 outings in his pro soccer career and tallies 0.37 G/90.

Genoa features a difference maker in Lorenzo Colombo, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He has accumulated 68 points so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 6 times. The forward hailing from Italy has played 10,207 minutes and has earned 31 goals. He scores 0.27 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 118 games so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atalanta (+110)

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Pick:	Toronto +.5 (-145)
Start:	May 2, 2026 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Take Toronto +.5 (-145) over San Jose (1 p.m. EST, Saturday May 2) The San Jose Earthquake are surprisingly on top of the Western Conference after 10 matches, three points clear of Vancouver (with one more match played) and seven clear of LAFC. Well, it wasn’t too surprising to us as we have been backing this side from the start. They are a legit championship contender this season. However, we think this will be a tough matchup for them Saturday. The Earthquake had their hands full at St. Louis last weekend, and Toronto is a much better side than St. Louis. This matchup is the Saturday matinee, so we think the early start (10 AM California time) will likely throw San Jose off. It’s tough for any side in MLS to take three points on the road, and getting the half goal all we need is a draw here. Toronto has taken at least a point in four of the last five meetings at home, with three outright wins. Toronto has only three points in their last four matches, but they took a point each against Philly, Austin and Cincinnati, three very solid sides, all here in Toronto. A draw is likely here and an outright win wouldn’t be shocking. Read More Read Less

Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction, 5/2/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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