Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/6/2026

Game: Atalanta vs Venezia

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026

Location: New Balance Arena in Bergamo, Italy

TV: Paramount+, DAZN

The Lagunari (0-0-5) are hitting the road to New Balance Arena in Bergamo, Italy on Sunday where they will take on Atalanta (2-0-3). The Goddess are priced at -150 while Venezia are at +125. The over/under is 3. The starting goaltenders will be Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta and Filip Stankovic for Venezia.

soccer picks Mario Pasalic Atalanta predictions best bet odds

Atalanta has accounted for 25 saves and they have earned a SV percentage of 78.1% this season. This team's differential on goals is currently at -2 with the help of 5 goals put in the net as well as 7 goals relinquished. The Goddess sit at 9th in the matter of goals expected having 20.6, and the squad's xGA are sitting at 20.1. Atalanta is sitting with 4 yellow card warnings so far this season as well as 1 red card. Atalanta B.C. has allowed 7 goals while relinquishing 1.40 goals per 90, and the opposition have earned 32 SoT against them. They have accounted for 1 clean sheet, which has them sitting at a percentage of 20.0% on the campaign. On the campaign, the team has put together an average of 1.20 points per contest (6 pts) and also are ranked 16th among European teams with 3 assists.

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The Lagunari have put together an average of 0.0 points per contest while compiling 4 assists. Venezia is ranked 20th in the category of goals against with 13, and the goal difference is coming in at -9. The Lagunari have earned 16 yellow card cautions. So far this year, the Lagunari have a save rate of 56.7% (30 SoT against), and they also sit at 20th among European teams with 0 points. Their goals against/90 minutes is at 2.60 in addition to 17 saves. Venezia has totaled 4 goals and the team's xG on the year is at 22.9.

The man defending the goal for Atalanta will be Marco Carnesecchi. Carnesecchi has been on the field for 22,509 minutes and has accumulated 734 saves so far in his career. Carnesecchi (107-68-75 record during his career) has tallied 73 shutouts, which has earned him a 29.2%% clean sheet rate. The keeper from Italy has faced 1,029 shots attempted against him in 250 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.20 (299 total goals conceded) and he holds a save % of 71.3%.

Filip Stankovic will look after the goal for Venezia. In his career, Stankovic has surrendered 198 goals and has totaled 452 saves in 157 starting assignments. He sports a save % of 70.0% and his shutout rate is 21.3%%. He has allowed 1.28 goals per 90 mins and he has a record of 67-36-53. Stankovic has 33 shutouts and defended 646 shots against him in 13,967 career minutes.

Mario Pasalic is one player who could help decide the outcome for Atalanta. Pasalic has been a starter in 326 outings so far in his career and he scores 0.29 goals per 90 minutes. The midfielder representing Croatia has racked up 94 goals in 28,832 minutes played. He has totaled 48 assists while accumulating 236 pts so far in his career.

Venezia features an attacker in Akor Adams, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He has tallied 105 points so far in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 11 times. The forward hailing from Nigeria has 8,712 mins while scoring 47 goals. He scores 0.49 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 99 contests thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atalanta (+125)

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Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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