Athletic Club vs Villarreal Prediction, 4/12/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/11/2026

Game: Athletic Club vs Villarreal

Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026

Location: San Mamés in Bilbao, Spain

TV: ESPN Deportes

The Submarino Amarillos (18-4-8) are on their way to San Mamés in Bilbao, Spain on Sunday where they will take on Athletic Club (11-5-14). Athletic Club are priced at +132 while the Submarino Amarillos are at -160. The total is set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Unai Simon for Athletic Club and Luiz Lucio Reis Junior for Villarreal.

soccer picks Gorka Guruzeta Athletic Club predictions best bet odds

Athletic Club has allowed 43 goals while giving up 1.43 goals per 90 min, and opponents have amassed 121 SoT against them. They have accumulated 5 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 16.7% on the season. Athletic Club has recorded 67 yellow card warnings this year and also 6 red cards. The Lions rank 16th in xG having 19.6, and the squad's expected goals against sit at 20.1. This season, the team comes in with an average of 1.27 pts/match (38 pts) and they also rank 16th in Big 5 soccer with 20 assists. Their differential on goals is at -11 by way of 32 goals finished and also 43 goals allowed. Athletic Club has recorded 82 saves and also have earned a save percentage of 64.5% so far this season.

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Villarreal has earned 54 goals and this squad's goals expected on the season is sitting at 23.0. This team's goals against per 90 min is at 1.17 with 73 saves, and they have 8 clean sheets. This year, Villarreal CF has a save % of 65.3% (101 SoT against), and they also are ranked 3rd in European soccer with 58 points. Villarreal is ranked 6th for goals surrendered having 35, and the team's goal differential is at 19. Villarreal CF has a clean sheet percentage of 26.7% this year and also 65 yellow card cautions. The Submarino Amarillos are averaging 1.9 pts per match while recording 36 assists and 3 red cards.

The man defending the goal for Athletic Club will be Unai Simon. Simon has played for 20,528 mins and is sitting with 540 saves so far in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.05 (240 goals conceded) and his save percentage is 70.1%. The goalie hailing from Spain has faced 770 shots sent his way in 230 career starting assignments. Simon (90-67-73 record in his career) has earned 73 clean sheets, which has earned him a 32.0%% shutout percentage.

Luiz Lucio Reis Junior will be looking after the net for Villarreal. In his career, Reis Junior has conceded 47 goals while totaling 115 stops in 43 starting assignments. He has given up 1.09 goals per 90 mins and he has a record of 26-7-10. He has a save percentage of 73.7% and his clean sheet rate is currently 30.1%%. Reis Junior has 13 shutouts while seeing 156 shots attempted against him in 3,888 minutes throughout his career.

Gorka Guruzeta is a member of the side who should impact this matchup for Athletic Club. The forward hailing from Spain has earned 53 goals scored in 14,036 mins. Guruzeta has been given a starting assignment in 171 games so far in his career while he scores 0.34 goals per 90. He has 17 assists while accumulating 123 pts during his soccer career.

Villarreal has an attacker in Alberto Moleiro, who pesters opposing defenses. The forward representing Spain has been on the field for 11,429 minutes while he has scored 22 goals. He is averaging 0.17 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 133 matches so far in his career. He has tallied 62 points during his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 18 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Athletic Club (-160)

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Athletic Club vs Villarreal Prediction, 4/12/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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