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Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC Prediction, 9/26/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/22/2026

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Game: Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: Apple TV

The 5 Stripes (8-8-10) will compete against NYCFC (7-5-14) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA on Saturday. The 5 Stripes are priced at +162 and NYCFC is at -196. The betting total comes in at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Lucas Hoyos for Atlanta and Tomas Romero for New York City.

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The United have conceded 43 goals while giving up 1.65 G/90, and the opposition have recorded 108 SoT on them. They have accumulated 3 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 11.5% on the season. Atlanta has compiled 57 yellow card warnings over the course of the season and also 1 red card. The United have a rank of 9th in regard to expected goals having 20.7, and the team's xGA are at 22.7. For the year, this team averages 1.00 points per match (26 pts) and also have a ranking of 28th in Major League Soccer with 19 assists. Their differential on goals is currently at -15 with the help of 28 goals compiled and 43 goals relinquished. Atlanta United FC has amassed 65 saves and they also are the owners of a save rate of 60.2% on the campaign.

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The Pigeons average 1.2 points per match while sitting with 25 assists and 1 red card. NYCFC has earned a clean sheet % of 19.2% so far this season in addition to 46 yellow cards. NYCFC has a rank of 7th concerning goals allowed having 34, and the difference in goals is 5. For the year, NYCFC has a save % of 72.4% (123 SoT against), and they also rank 18th in MLS with 32 points. Their goals against per 90 is 1.31 in addition to 88 saves, and they have compiled 5 clean sheets. New York City FC has tallied 39 goals and the squad's xG so far this season is 18.5.

The man who will defend the goal for Atlanta is Lucas Hoyos. Hoyos has seen the field for a total of 21,400 minutes and has earned 583 saves in his career. The keeper from Argentina has seen 832 shots tried against him in 237 starts. His GA/90 is 1.05 (249 goals conceded) and his save % is 70.1%. Hoyos (93-64-80 record during his soccer career) has earned 85 shutouts, which leaves him with a 35.7%% shutout percentage.

Tomas Romero will reside in front of the goal for New York City. In his pro soccer career, Romero has given up 121 goals and has racked up 205 saves in 66 starts. He sports a save % of 62.9% and his clean sheet rate sits at 16.4%%. He has surrendered 1.80 goals per 90 and he has a mark of 21-13-32. Romero has totaled 11 shutouts while defending 326 shots attempted against him in 6,039 minutes throughout his career.

Aleksei Miranchuk is a member of the squad to keep an eye out for Atlanta. The midfielder from Russia has tallied 70 goals in 27,357 minutes played. Miranchuk has been in the starting lineup in 297 outings during his soccer career and he tallies 0.23 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 59 assists while earning 199 points during his soccer career.

New York City is being led onto the pitch by Agustin Ojeda, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. He currently averages 0.19 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 65 contests thus far in his career. The forward who is from Argentina has been on the pitch for 5,850 minutes while scoring 12 goals. He has totaled 40 pts so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 16 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta United FC (-196)

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