Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Prediction, 1/18/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/17/2026

Game: Atletico Madrid vs Alaves

Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026

Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN Deportes

The Babazorros (5-4-9) are hitting the road to Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid, Spain on Sunday where they will attempt to beat Atletico Madrid (11-5-3). Atletico Madrid are priced at -130 while the Babazorros are at +110. The over/under has been set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Jan Oblak for Atletico Madrid and Antonio Sivera for Alaves.

soccer picks Antoine Griezmann Atletico Madrid predictions best bet odds

The Red and Whites rank 3rd in relation to expected goals with 30.4, and the team's xGA are coming in at 22.3. Madrid has relinquished 17 goals while conceding 0.89 goals per 90 minutes, and opposing teams have compiled 57 shots on target against them. This team's differential on goals is currently at 17 with 34 goals put in the net and also 17 goals relinquished. They have tallied 7 clean sheets, which has them at a percentage of 36.8% on the season. Atletico Madrid has amassed 40 saves and also have earned a save rate of 70.2% so far this season. Atletico Madrid has accounted for 35 yellow card warnings for the year and also 2 red cards. So far this year, this team averages 2.00 pts/match (38 points) and are 5th among European teams with 20 assists.

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Alaves has accounted for 15 goals and their expected goals this year is 19.4. This team's goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.17 in addition to 46 saves, and they have recorded 3 clean sheets. On the season, Deportivo Alaves a save percentage of 68.7% (67 SoT against), and also sit at 12th among European teams with 19 pts. Alavés sits at 7th for goals allowed having 21, and the team's goal differential is coming in at -6. Deportivo Alaves a clean sheet % of 16.7% this year and 44 yellow cards. The Babazorros have put together an average of 1.1 pts per fixture while accumulating 6 assists and 2 red cards.

The guy who will defend the goal for Atlético Madrid is Jan Oblak. Oblak has played for 34,727 minutes and has earned 904 stops during his soccer career. Oblak (231-90-66 mark in his career) has earned 180 clean sheets, which gives him a 46.6%% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper from Slovenia has faced 1,191 shots tried against him in 387 career starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 0.77 (299 total goals surrendered) and his save % is 75.9%.

Antonio Sivera will be residing in front of the net for Alavés. So far in his pro soccer career, Sivera has allowed 109 goals while earning 233 stops in 95 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.16 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 28-24-43. He sports a save % of 68.9% and his clean sheet rate sits at 24.5%%. Sivera has totaled 23 shutouts while defending 338 shots against him in 8,440 minutes in his career.

Antoine Griezmann is one guy who should impact this matchup for Atlético Madrid. The forward representing France has totaled 284 goals scored in 55,791 minutes. Griezmann has started 642 outings during his pro soccer career and scores 0.46 goals per 90. He has 116 assists while accumulating 684 points during his career.

Alavés features Denis Suarez, who can cause havoc on the pitch. The midfielder born in Spain has been on the pitch for 21,778 mins while scoring 32 goals. He averages 0.13 goals per 90 mins and has started 239 contests so far in his pro soccer career. He has totaled 118 pts so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 54 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Alaves (-130)

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Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Prediction, 1/18/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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