Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction, 1/17/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/16/2026

Game: Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli

Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026

Location: Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany

TV: ESPN+

The Neighbourhood Kickers (3-3-9) are en route to Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany on Saturday where they will play Borussia Dortmund (9-5-1). Borussia Dortmund are priced at -152 and the Neighbourhood Kickers are at +126. The total comes in at 3. The starting goalkeepers will be Gregor Kobel for Borussia Dortmund and Nikola Vasilj for St. Pauli.

soccer picks Jackson Irvine St Pauli predictions best bet odds

BVB has given up 12 goals while allowing 0.80 goals per 90, and the other team have tallied 47 shots on target on them. They have earned 8 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 53.3% this season. Borussia Dortmund has accounted for 25 yellow cards for the season as well as 2 red cards. The Black and Yellow rank 5th for expected goals having 23.0, and the xGA are coming in at 14.6. This year, the club averages 2.13 pts per match (32 pts) and also have a rank of 6th among Big 5 teams with 21 assists. The team's differential on goals is at 14 by way of 26 goals scored and 12 goals surrendered. Dortmund has compiled 35 saves and they have earned a save% of 74.5% over the course of the season.

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St. Pauli has totaled 13 goals and the team's goals expected so far this year is at 12.2. The team's goals against per 90 min is at 1.73 with 51 saves, and they have earned 2 clean sheets. For the year, St. Pauli has a save % of 67.1% (79 SoTA), and are ranked 16th among European teams with 12 points. St. Pauli ranks 13th in the category of goals allowed having 26, and their difference in goals is coming in at -13. Sport-Club St. Pauli has amassed a clean sheet rate of 13.3% this year in addition to 26 yellow card cautions. The Neighbourhood Kickers have an average of 0.8 points per match while tallying 9 assists and 1 red card.

The man who will protect the net for Dortmund is Gregor Kobel. Kobel has seen the pitch for 16,039 minutes and has earned 521 stops during his pro soccer career. Kobel (94-36-50 record in his career) has tallied 48 shutouts, which gives him a 26.9%% shutout rate. The keeper hailing from Switzerland has seen 780 shots tried at him in 180 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.46 (261 goals given up) and he has earned a save % of 66.8%.

Nikola Vasilj will look after the net for St. Pauli. In his career, Vasilj has surrendered 65 goals while earning 144 stops in 48 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.35 goals per 90 while earning a record of 11-10-27. He has earned a save percentage of 67.3% and his shutout rate is currently at 22.9%%. Vasilj has accumulated 11 shutouts and has seen 214 shots tried against him in 4,319 minutes throughout his career.

Serhou Guirassy is a footballer who should impact this matchup for Dortmund. He has 25 assists while tallying 313 points so far in his pro soccer career. The forward from Guinea has totaled 144 goals in 21,498 mins. Guirassy has been given a starting assignment in 232 matchups during his career and tallies 0.60 goals per 90 mins.

St. Pauli features a difference maker in Jackson Irvine, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He is averaging 0.11 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 373 contests in his career. The midfielder who is from Australia has 33,458 minutes and he has scored 41 goals. He has earned 122 points in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 40 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Pauli (-152)

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Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Prediction, 1/17/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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