Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/9/2026

Game: Burnley vs Aston Villa

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Turf Moor in Lancashire, England

TV: Peacock

Burnley (4-8-23) will compete against Aston Villa (17-7-11) at Turf Moor in Lancashire, England on Sunday. Burnley are priced at +102 and the Villains are at -122. The total has been set at 3. The goalies protecting the net are Martin Dubravka for Burnley and Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa.

soccer picks Jaidon Anthony Burnley predictions best bet odds

Burnley has accumulated 127 SVs and they also have earned a save percentage of 63.0% on the year. Their differential on goals is at -36 as a result of 35 goals put in the net and 71 goals surrendered. On the season, this team holds an average of 0.57 pts/match (20 pts) and are 16th among European teams with 25 assists. The Clarets are ranked 4th when it comes to expected goals having 22.0, and the team's xGA are 22.5. Burnley has 60 yellow cards this year and also 3 red cards. Burnley F.C. has allowed 71 goals while relinquishing 2.03 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have recorded 192 shots on target on them. They have recorded 4 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a % of 11.4% so far this year.

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The Villains come in with an average of 1.7 points per match while compiling 34 assists and 1 red card. Aston Villa F.C. has recorded a shut out % of 25.7% this year and also 54 yellow card warnings. Aston Villa has a ranking of 5th when it comes to goals conceded having 44, and their goal differential is coming in at 4. On the campaign, Aston Villa F.C. has a save % of 70.1% (147 shots on target against), and also rank 4th in European soccer with 58 pts. Their goals against/90 min is 1.26 with 105 saves, and they have accounted for 9 clean sheets. Aston Villa has totaled 48 goals and the squad's goals expected for the season is sitting at 18.6.

The guy who will defend the goal for Burnley will be Martin Dubravka. Dubravka has seen the pitch for 17,622 minutes and has tallied 625 saves thus far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.52 (297 total goals given up) and he holds a save % of 68.5%. The goalie hailing from Slovakia has seen 912 shots attempted against him in 195 starting assignments. Dubravka (67-43-85 mark in his professional soccer career) has totaled 51 shutouts, which leaves him with a 26.0%% shutout percentage.

Emiliano Martinez is expected to look after the net for Aston Villa. So far in his pro soccer career, Martinez has conceded 283 goals while earning 656 saves in 229 starts. He holds a save percentage of 69.9% and his shutout rate is currently 30.5%%. He has surrendered 1.25 goals per 90 mins while earning a record of 108-44-77. Martinez has earned 69 clean sheets while seeing 938 shots tried against him in 20,366 mins throughout his career.

Jaidon Anthony is a guy who can be a force in the game for Burnley. He has 21 assists while accumulating 79 points in his career. The forward hailing from England has racked up 29 goals scored in 12,468 minutes played. Anthony has started 136 matches so far in his career while he scores 0.21 goals per 90 minutes.

Aston Villa has a guy in Ollie Watkins, who should keep defenses up at night. He has 393 pts in his career and has helped on a goal 63 times. The forward from England has totaled 36,792 minutes while scoring 165 goals. He currently averages 0.40 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 411 games so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Aston Villa (+102)

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Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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