Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction, 1/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/9/2026

Game: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Fiorentina (2-7-10) will compete against AC Milan (11-6-1) at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy on Sunday. Fiorentina are priced at +172 and AC Milan are priced at -210. The betting total comes in at 3. The starting goalies are David de Gea for Fiorentina and Mike Maignan for AC Milan.

soccer picks Albert Gudmundsson Fiorentina predictions best bet odds

The Purples have a rank of 4th in regard to expected goals with 27.8, and the squad's expected goals against are coming in at 26.4. ACF Fiorentina has relinquished 30 goals while surrendering 1.58 G/90, and opposing clubs have accumulated 90 SoT against them. Their goal differential is at -10 by way of 20 goals put in the net in addition to 30 goals given up. They have 3 clean sheets, giving them a rate of 15.8% on the season. Fiorentina has earned 59 SVs and they have a save% of 66.7% this season. Fiorentina has accumulated 47 yellow cards on the season and 1 red card. So far this season, the squad averages 0.68 points per match (13 points) and are ranked 17th among European teams with 9 assists.

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The Red and Blacks sport an average of 2.2 pts per fixture while accumulating 20 assists and 1 red card. The Red and Blacks have a clean sheet % of 50.0% this year and 28 yellow card cautions. Milan sits at 3rd in goals allowed having 14, and their difference in goals is 15. Over the course of the season, the Red and Blacks have a save % of 75.0% (56 shots on target against), and sit at 2nd in European soccer with 39 pts. Their goals against per 90 minutes is at 0.78 with 40 saves, and they have accumulated 9 shutouts. AC Milan has accounted for 29 goals and the squad's goals expected for the year sits at 28.8.

The man who will protect the net for Fiorentina is David de Gea. Gea has been on the field for 47,278 mins and has tallied 1,499 stops during his soccer career. The keeper hailing from Spain has had 2,088 shots attempted at him in 526 career starts. His GA/90 is 1.13 (595 total goals given up) and he is the owner of a save % of 71.8%. Gea (271-121-134 mark during his soccer career) has tallied 176 clean sheets, which has earned him a 33.5%% shutout rate.

Mike Maignan will be residing in front of the goal for Milan. So far in his career, Maignan has given up 277 goals and has tallied 711 stops in 284 starts. Maignan has accumulated 111 shutouts while seeing 987 shots attempted against him in 25,503 mins throughout his career. He holds a save percentage of 72.0% and his clean sheet rate is 39.2%%. He has surrendered 0.98 goals per 90 minutes and he has a record of 154-65-65.

Albert Gudmundsson is a member of the side to keep an eye out for Fiorentina. The midfielder representing Iceland has earned 93 goals scored in 19,876 mins. Gudmundsson has been a starter in 231 matchups during his pro soccer career and scores 0.42 goals per 90. He has totaled 31 assists while accumulating 217 points in his career.

Milan features a difference maker in Luka Modric, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He currently averages 0.12 goals per 90 and has been given a starting assignment in 596 matches so far in his pro soccer career. The midfielder representing Croatia has earned 52,307 mins and has earned 69 goals. He has tallied 243 points in his career and has assisted on a goal 105 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take AC Milan (+172)

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Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction, 1/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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