Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/9/2026

Game: Fiorentina vs Genoa

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy

TV: Paramount+

The Griffin (10-10-15) are en route to Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy on Sunday where they will compete against Fiorentina (8-13-14). Fiorentina are priced at +102 and Genoa are at -122. The over/under has been set at 3. The goalies expected to start will be David de Gea for Fiorentina and Justin Bijlow for Genoa.

soccer picks Rolando Mandragora Fiorentina predictions best bet odds

Fiorentina has recorded 107 SVs and also have a save rate of 67.5% for the year. This team's goal differential is at -11 as a result of 38 goals tallied and 49 goals allowed. So far this season, the squad averages 1.06 points per contest (37 points) and also sit at 14th among Big 5 teams with 21 assists. The Purples sit at 9th in goals expected with 20.2, and their expected goals against are coming in at 22.3. Fiorentina has accounted for 79 yellow cards over the course of the season in addition to 2 red cards. ACF Fiorentina has relinquished 49 goals while conceding 1.40 goals per 90, and the opposition have tallied 151 SoT on them. They have a total of 8 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a rate of 22.9% this season.

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The Griffin hold an average of 1.1 pts/match while compiling 21 assists and 3 red cards. Genoa C.F.C. has compiled a clean sheet rate of 22.9% on the campaign as well as 60 yellow card warnings. Genoa sits at 15th in relation to goals against having 49, and the goal differential is -9. On the season, Genoa C.F.C. has a save % of 66.7% (147 SoT against), and they also have a rank of 14th in European soccer with 40 pts. The club's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.40 in addition to 104 saves, and they have accounted for 8 shut outs. Genoa has accounted for 40 goals and this team's xG for the season is at 21.7.

The guy defending the goal for Fiorentina will be David de Gea. Gea has defended the goal for a total of 48,718 minutes and has earned 1,547 stops so far in his career. Gea (277-127-138 record during his career) has accumulated 181 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 33.4%% clean sheet percentage. The goalie born in Spain has seen 2,149 shots tried at him in 542 starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.13 (614 total goals allowed) and his save percentage is 72.0%.

Justin Bijlow will reside in front of the goal for Genoa. During his professional soccer career, Bijlow has given up 18 goals and has accumulated 41 stops in 14 starts. He has allowed 1.33 goals per 90 minutes and he has a mark of 6-2-6. He has a save % of 74.5% and his shutout rate is 29.6%%. Bijlow has earned 4 shutouts and has seen 55 shots attempted against him in 1,215 mins throughout his career.

Rolando Mandragora is a guy who can be a force on the pitch for Fiorentina. Mandragora has had a starting assignment in 286 matchups so far in his pro soccer career while he scores 0.13 goals per 90 minutes. The midfielder from Italy has accumulated 36 goals in 24,998 professional minutes. He has 26 assists while accumulating 98 pts during his soccer career.

Genoa features an attacker in Lorenzo Colombo, who should keep defenses up at night. The forward hailing from Italy has been on the pitch for 10,262 professional minutes and has scored 31 goals. He currently averages 0.27 goals per 90 and has started 119 games thus far in his career. He has collected 68 pts so far in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 6 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Fiorentina (-122)

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Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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