Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/6/2026

Game: Genoa vs Fiorentina

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genova, Italy

TV: DAZN, Paramount+

Genoa (0-1-4) welcomes Fiorentina (1-1-3) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genova, Italy on Sunday. Genoa are priced at +172 and Fiorentina are at -210. The over/under comes in at 3. The goalies protecting the net are Justin Bijlow for Genoa and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

soccer picks Moise Kean Fiorentina predictions best bet odds

Genoa has accounted for 13 saves and are the owners of a SV percentage of 56.5% for the season. The team's goal differential is at -7 with 3 goals finished in addition to 10 goals relinquished. The Griffin sit at 6th concerning expected goals having 21.4, and the expected goals against are coming in at 19.2. Genoa has accumulated 12 yellow cards over the course of the season in addition to 1 red card. Genoa C.F.C. has surrendered 10 goals while surrendering 2.00 G/90, and opposing teams have recorded 23 SoT against them. The team hasn't tallied a clean sheet so far this year. On the campaign, the team is sitting with an average of 0.20 pts/match (1 point) and are ranked 18th in Big 5 soccer with 3 assists.

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Fiorentina has amassed 6 goals and their xG for the year sits at 22.9. The team's goals against per 90 min is currently at 2.40 with 14 saves. ACF Fiorentina has recorded 9 yellow card cautions. The Purples are averaging 0.8 pts/match while sitting with 5 assists. On the year, ACF Fiorentina has a save percentage of 53.8% (26 SoT against), and also rank 13th in Big 5 soccer with 4 pts. Fiorentina is 18th when it comes to goals given up having 12, and the squad's goal differential is -6.

The man defending the goal for Genoa is Justin Bijlow. Bijlow has played for a total of 13,601 minutes and has 328 stops thus far in his career. Bijlow (86-29-38 mark in his career) has recorded 49 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 32.4%% shutout percentage. The goalie from the Netherlands has had 477 shots sent in his direction in 153 starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.15 (174 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save % of 68.8%.

David de Gea will be residing in front of the net for Fiorentina. So far in his career, de Gea has allowed 776 goals and has totaled 1,939 saves in 690 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.12 goals per 90 minutes and he has a record of 348-157-184. He sports a save percentage of 71.5% and his clean sheet rate sits at 32.9%%. de Gea has earned 228 clean sheets while seeing 2,711 shots tried against him in 62,338 mins throughout his career.

Stephan El Shaarawy is a member of the side who can be a force in the game for Genoa. El Shaarawy has started 301 matches during his soccer career and he tallies 0.32 goals per 90 minutes. The defenseman from Italy has racked up 99 goals in 27,838 mins. He has totaled 54 assists while tallying 252 points so far in his career.

Fiorentina is being led onto the pitch by Moise Kean, who can change the course of a fixture. He has 168 pts during his career and has helped on a goal 10 times. The forward representing Italy has been on the pitch for 14,763 mins and has earned 79 goals. He scores 0.48 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 157 games in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Fiorentina (+172)

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Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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