Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/9/2026

Game: Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, Germany

TV: ESPN+

The Breisgau Brazilians (12-8-12) are en route to Volksparkstadion in Hamburg, Germany on Sunday where they will meet Hamburger SV (8-10-14). Hamburger SV are priced at +102 while the Breisgau Brazilians are at -122. The betting total is set at 3. The goaltenders protecting the net are Daniel Heuer Fernandes for Hamburger SV and Noah Atubolu for SC Freiburg.

soccer picks Igor Matanovic SC Freiburg predictions best bet odds

Hamburger SV has earned 104 saves and they also hold a save rate of 65.3% on the year. Their differential on goals is currently at -15 by way of 36 goals put in the net and also 51 goals conceded. This year, this club holds an average of 1.06 points per match (34 pts) and have a ranking of 11th among Big 5 teams with 27 assists. The Red Shorts rank 18th in expected goals with 18.2, and the team's xGA are 18.2. Hamburg has a total of 74 yellow card warnings on the campaign and also 8 red cards. Hamburger SV has relinquished 51 goals while relinquishing 1.59 goals per 90 min, and their oppositition have accumulated 147 SoT against them. They have 6 shut outs, giving them a % of 18.8% on the campaign.

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On the campaign, Freiburg has a save percentage of 63.4% (145 shots on target against), and also sit at 7th in European soccer with 44 pts. The Breisgau Brazilians are averaging 1.4 points per contest while tallying 24 assists and 3 red cards. Freiburg has accounted for 45 goals and this team's xG for the year is at 18.5. Sport-Club Freiburg has accounted for a shut out rate of 18.8% so far this year and 49 yellow card warnings. This team's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.66 in addition to 93 saves, and they have accounted for 6 clean sheets. Freiburg has a ranking of 10th in goals conceded having 53, and their difference in goals sits at -8.

The man protecting the net for Hamburger SV will be Daniel Heuer Fernandes. Fernandes has seen the field for 3,456 mins and has 134 stops thus far in his career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.67 (64 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save % of 70.5%. The keeper hailing from Portugal has faced 190 shots sent his way in 38 starts. Fernandes (9-11-18 mark during his career) has accounted for 6 shutouts, which leaves him with a 15.6%% clean sheet rate.

Noah Atubolu will be residing in front of the net for Freiburg. During his career, Atubolu has allowed 148 goals while totaling 273 saves in 92 starts. Atubolu has racked up 26 clean sheets and has defended 423 shots against him in 8,247 career minutes. He is the owner of a save percentage of 64.5% and his shutout rate sits at 28.4%%. He has surrendered 1.62 goals per 90 mins while holding a mark of 35-23-34.

Albert Sambi Lokonga is one member of the side who can help decide the match for Hamburger SV. He has 10 assists while accumulating 28 pts so far in his pro soccer career. The midfielder born in Belgium has tallied 9 goals scored in 12,639 mins. Lokonga has had a starting assignment in 143 matches during his career and accounts for 0.06 goals per 90 mins.

Freiburg has a guy in Igor Matanovic, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He currently averages 0.40 goals per 90 and has started 61 matches so far in his career. The forward from Croatia has been on the field for 6,076 professional minutes and he has scored 27 goals. He has accumulated 65 pts so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 11 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take SC Freiburg (+102)

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Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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